Recognition,Decomposition and Characterization of Poverty-prone Population under the Goal of Common Prosperity:Based on Weak Relative Poverty Line Method
After the elimination of absolute poverty,it is necessary to identify the people who are prone to poverty in China,so as to consolidate the achievements of poverty alleviation and achieve common prosperity.The absolute poverty line and weak relative poverty line are combined to accurately identify the poverty-prone population.Based on the inclusive growth theory,a four-component decomposition framework of"growth-dis-tribution-identification-assistance"is innovatively constructed to investigate the reasons for the change of pov-erty-prone population.The empirical study using the micro-data of China's household finance survey shows that:The national weak relative poverty line is increasing year by year,and the poverty-prone population has also increased from 14.89％in 2011 to 19.94％in 2019,among which rural areas are more prone to return to poverty and the rising speed is faster than that of cities.Under the inter-provincial differential poverty stan-dard,Guangdong,Beijing,Zhejiang and other economically developed provinces having the higher living costs and employment pressures will also trigger the phenomenon of returning to poverty.In addition to identifi-cation component,the other three components can reduce the proportion of poverty-prone population,and the contribution of assistance is second only to the growth component.Poverty-prone population has the character-istics of poor health,low education,no housing security and low non-agricultural employment rate.At the same time,the inequality of regional income distribution will inhibit the pro-poor nature of economic growth.Therefore,we can combine the absolute poverty line with the weak relative poverty line to identify the people who are easy to return to poverty,and combine endogenous development with external support to alleviate the proportion of the people who are easy to return to poverty,thus preventing large-scale return to poverty and promoting common prosperity.
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