首页|三酰甘油-葡萄糖指数和尿酸水平对2型糖尿病患者并发颈动脉粥样硬化的影响及风险列线图模型构建

三酰甘油-葡萄糖指数和尿酸水平对2型糖尿病患者并发颈动脉粥样硬化的影响及风险列线图模型构建

Effect of triglyceride glucose index and uric acid level on carotid atherosclerosis in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and establishment of the risk nomogram model

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目的 探讨三酰甘油-葡萄糖(TyG)指数和尿酸水平对2型糖尿病(T2DM)患者并发颈动脉粥样硬化的影响,并构建T2DM并发颈动脉粥样硬化的风险预测模型.方法 选择2020年1月至2022年12月新乡市第一人民医院收治的125例T2DM患者为研究对象.根据是否并发颈动脉粥样硬化将患者分为颈动脉粥样硬化组(n=33)和非颈动脉粥样硬化组(n=92).通过电子病历系统收集患者的性别、年龄、病程、体质量指数(BMI)、舒张压(DBP)及收缩压(SBP)等一般临床资料;使用全自动生化分析仪测定患者的三酰甘油(TG)、空腹血糖(FPG)、肌酐(Cr)、空腹胰岛素(FINS)、糖化血红蛋白(HbA1c)、高密度脂蛋白胆固醇(HDL-C)、低密度脂蛋白胆固醇(LDL-C)、总胆固醇(TC)水平,尿酸酶法测定尿酸水平;应用单因素和多因素logistic回归分析T2DM患者并发颈动脉粥样硬化的危险因素.使用R3.5.3软件绘制预测T2DM患者并发颈动脉粥样硬化的列线图模型,应用受试者操作特征(ROC)曲线对列线图模型预测效能进行检验,并应用Bootstrap法检验模型的准确性.另选择2023年1月至2023年6月新乡市第一人民医院收治的27例T2DM患者对模型预测效能进行验证.结果 单因素分析结果显示,颈动脉粥样硬化组与非颈动脉粥样硬化组患者的年龄、病程、Cr、FINS、FPG、TC、TG、TyG指数及尿酸水平比较差异有统计学意义(P<0.05);2组患者的性别、BMI、DBP、SBP、HbA1c、HDL-C、LDL-C比较差异无统计学意义(P>0.05).多因素logistic回归分析结果显示,年龄≥60岁、高水平Cr、低水平FINS、高水平TC、高TyG指数和高水平尿酸为T2DM患者并发颈动脉粥样硬化的危险因素(P<0.05).使用Bootstrap法验证基于年龄、Cr、FINS、TC、TyG指数及尿酸水平建立的预测T2DM患者并发颈动脉粥样硬化的风险预测模型结果显示,该模型的C-指数为0.762(95%置信区间:0.728-0.808),ROC曲线下面积、灵敏度、特异度分别为0.779、77.34%、82.46%.27例T2DM患者中实际并发颈动脉粥样硬化8例,风险列线图模型预测并发颈动脉动脉硬化7例;ROC曲线显示,曲线下面积、灵敏度及特异度分别为0.785、80.47%、75.36%.结论 高TyG指数及尿酸水平是T2DM患者并发颈动脉粥样硬化的危险因素,基于TyG指数、尿酸水平、年龄、Cr、FINs及TC构建的风险列线图模型对T2DM患者并发颈动脉粥样硬化具有较好的预测效能.
Objective To explore the effect of triglyceride glucose(TyG)index and uric acid level on carotid athero-sclerosis in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM),and build a risk nomogram model for T2DM complicated with carotid atherosclerosis.Methods A total of 125 T2DM patients admitted to the First People's Hospital of Xinxiang City from January 2020 to December 2022 were selected as the research subjects.The patients were divided into the carotid atherosclerosis group(n=33)and the non-carotid atherosclerosis group(n=92)according to whether they had carotid atherosclerosis.The general clinical data such as gender,age,course of disease,body mass index(BMI),diastolic blood pressure(DBP),and systolic blood pressure(SBP)of patients were collected through the electronic medical record system.The levels of triglycerides(TG),fasting plasma glucose(FPG),creatinine(Cr),fasting insulin(FINS),glycosylated hemoglobin(HbA1c),high-densi-ty lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C),low-density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C),and total cholesterol(TC)were measured by using a fully automatic biochemical analyzer.The uric acid level was determined by using the uricase method.The risk factors of carotid atherosclerosis in T2DM patients were analyzed through univariate and multivariate logistic regression.R3.5.3 software was used to draw a nomogram model to predict carotid atherosclerosis in T2DM patients.The predictive performance of the nomogram model was validated by the receiver operating curve(ROC),and the accuracy of the model was tested by the Bootstrap method.Additionally,a total of 27 T2DM patients admitted to the First People's Hospital of Xinxiang City from January 2023 to June 2023 were selected to validate the predictive performance of the model.Results The univariate analysis showed that there were significant differences in the age,course of disease,Cr,FINS,FPG,TC,TG,TyG index and uric acid level of patients between the carotid atherosclerosis group and the non-carotid atherosclerosis group(P<0.05);there was no statisti-cally significant difference in gender,BMI,DBP,SBP,HbA1c,HDL-C and LDL-C of patients between the two groups(P>0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age ≥60 years,high Cr level,low FINS level,high TC level,high TyG index and high uric acid level were the risk factors for carotid atherosclerosis in T2DM patients(P<0.05).The.The validation results of Bootstrap method for validating the early warning model established based on age,Cr,FINS,TC,TyG index and uric acid level to predict the risk of carotid atherosclerosis in T2DM patients showed that the C-index of the model was 0.762(95%confidence interval:0.728-0.808),and the area under the ROC curve,sensitivity,and specificity were 0.779,77.34%,and 82.46%,respectively.Among the 27 T2DM patients,8 cases developed carotid atherosclerosis,while the risk nomogram model predicted 7 cases of carotid arteriosclerosis.The ROC curve showed that the area under the curve,sensitivity and specificity were 0.785,80.47%and 75.36%,respectively.Conclusion High TyG index and high uric acid level are risk factors for T2DM patients with carotid atherosclerosis.The risk nomogram model constructed based on TyG index,uric acid level,age,Cr,FINS and TC has a good predictive effect on carotid atherosclerosis in T2DM patients.

triglyceride glucose indexuric acidtype 2 diabetes mellituscarotid atherosclerosisrisk nomogram model

崔向勇、周浩锋

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新乡市第一人民医院内分泌科,河南 新乡 453000

三酰甘油-葡萄糖指数 尿酸 2型糖尿病 颈动脉粥样硬化 风险列线图模型

2024

新乡医学院学报
新乡医学院

新乡医学院学报

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.999
ISSN:1004-7239
年,卷(期):2024.41(8)
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