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气候变化对定日县农作物产量的影响

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利用西藏定日县1999-2023年小麦、青稞、豌豆等粮食作物产量资料及同一时间段气温、降水量与日照时数等观测资料,采用线性趋势等方法分析了定日县气候变化与农作物产量变化特征,探讨了气候变化对农作物产量的影响.结果表明:1999-2023年定日县年平均气温呈升温趋势,其升温速率为0.19℃/10a,夏季升温幅度最大;年降水量呈波动减少趋势,减少速率为-61.68 mm/10a,夏季降水减少趋势最为明显,冬季降水量变化不明显;年日照时数以69.88 h/10a的速率呈明显的增加趋势,春季日照时数最长,夏季增加趋势最为明显.1999-2023年定日县粮食平均产量为28077.70 t,青稞产量最高.年粮食产量以3814.61 t/10a的速率呈明显的增加趋势,其中,青稞产量变化速率为4473.93 t/10a,相对而言,青稞产量变化趋势更为明显.定日县农作物产量与气温呈明显的正相关关系,气温每升高10.00℃,农作物产量增加30624.02 t,青稞产量增加37305.01 t.与降水呈负相关关系,但并不明显;与日照时数也存在一定的正相关关系,日照时数每增加10.00 h,农作物产量增加59.74 t,青稞作物产量增加64.49 t.
The impact of climate change on crop yields in Dingri County
Based on the yield data of wheat,barley and pea in Dingri County,Xizang from 1999 to 2023,as well as the observation data of temperature,precipitation and sunshine hours in the same time period,the characteristics of climate change and crop yield changes in Dingri County were analyzed by linear trend method,and the impact of cli-mate change on crop yield was discussed.The results showed that the annual mean temperature in Dingri County pre-sented an increasing trend from 1999 to 2023,with a warming rate of 0.19℃/10a,and the largest warming range in summer.The annual precipitation showed a fluctuating and decreasing trend,with a decreasing rate of-61.68mm/10a,with the most obvious decreasing trend in summer and no obvious precipitation change in winter.The annual sun-shine hours showed an obvious increasing trend at a rate of 69.88h/10a,with the longest sunshine hours in spring and the most obvious increas in summer.The average grain output in Dingri County from 1999 to 2023 was 2,8077.70t,and the yield of highland barley was the highest.The annual grain output showed an obvious increasing trend at a rate of 3814.61t/10a,and the change rate of highland barley yield was 4473.92t/10a,which was more obvious in compar-ison.There was a positive correlation between crop yield and temperature in Dingri County.For every 10.00℃ in-crease in temperature,the crop yield increased by 30624.02t,and the highland barley yield increased by 37305.01t.It was a negative correlation with precipitation,but not significant.There was also a positive correlation with the sun-shine hours that the crop yield increased by 59.74 t and the highland barley crop yield increased by 64.49t for every 10h increase of sunshine hours.

Climate changeCropsYieldFeaturesInfluenceDingri county

达确、久美南加、拉巴果杰、次仁旺姆、罗桑曲珍

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西藏自治区日喀则市定日县气象局,日喀则 858200

西藏自治区那曲市班戈县气象局,那曲 852500

西藏自治区昌都市边坝县气象局,昌都 855500

气候变化 农作物 产量 特征 影响 定日县

2024

西藏科技
西藏科技信息研究所

西藏科技

影响因子:0.202
ISSN:1004-3403
年,卷(期):2024.46(9)