首页|淮海经济区乡村振兴与新型城镇化协调发展的时空差异

淮海经济区乡村振兴与新型城镇化协调发展的时空差异

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乡村振兴与新型城镇化协调发展是实现城乡高质量发展的基本路径.在阐释乡村振兴与新型城镇化协调发展机理的基础上,以2007-2021年淮海经济区10个设区市的指标数据为样本,采用熵值法、耦合协调模型、马尔可夫链等研究方法,对淮海经济区乡村振兴与新型城镇化时空耦合协调演化特征进行分析.结果表明:淮海经济区乡村振兴和新型城镇化发展水平呈现波动上升态势,并且两者在空间上存在明显的不均衡现象.淮海经济区乡村振兴与新型城镇化耦合协调类型经历了从"濒临失调"到"良好协调"的转变,空间上由南向北总体上呈"低-高-低-高"型分布.淮海经济区乡村振兴与新型城镇化耦合协调状态具有相对稳定性,并遵循渐进发展的一般规律,短时间内难以实现跨级跃迁式发展.推动淮海经济区乡村振兴与新型城镇化协调发展,可从加快现代农业基础设施建设、健全农业人才培养机制、因地制宜制定差异化的乡村振兴和新型城镇化方案方面入手.
Spatio-temporal disparities in coordinated development of rural revitalization and new-type urbanization in Huaihai Economic Zone
Coordinated development of rural revitalization and new-type urbanization constitutes the fundamental ap-proach to achieving high-quality development in both urban and rural areas.Built on the mechanism for coordinated development between rural revitalization and new-type urbanization,the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of their synergy in Huaihai Economic Zone are analyzed by using index data from 10 district-level cities from 2007 to 2021.Methods such as the entropy weight method,the coupling coordination model,and Markov chains were em-ployed.Findings indicate that both rural revitalization and new-type urbanization display an oscillating upward trend in the development level,with significant spatial imbalances.The types of coupling and coordination between rural revitalization and new-type urbanization have evolved from"near discoordination"to"good coordination",character-ized by a"low-high-low-high"spatial pattern from south to north.The state of coordination is relatively stable,ad-hering to the general principle of incremental progression,making abrupt leaps in development levels unlikely within a short timespan.To bolster the coordinated development of rural revitalization and new-type urbanization in Hua-ihai Economic Zone,initiatives could start from accelerating the construction of modern agricultural infrastructure,perfecting agricultural talent development mechanisms,and devising regionally tailored plans for both rural revital-ization and urbanization.

rural revitalizationnew-type urbanizationcoupling coordinationMarkov chainHuaihai Economic Zone

范观宇、沈正平

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江苏师范大学地理测绘与城乡规划学院,江苏 徐州 221116

江苏师范大学淮海发展研究院,江苏 徐州 221009

乡村振兴 新型城镇化 耦合协调 马尔可夫链 淮海经济区

江苏省决策咨询研究基地课题江苏省决策咨询研究基地课题江苏高校优势学科建设工程资助项目

23SSL05524SSL0049

2024

江苏师范大学学报(自然科学版)
江苏师范大学

江苏师范大学学报(自然科学版)

影响因子:0.323
ISSN:1007-6573
年,卷(期):2024.42(2)
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