首页|新发展格局下国内外市场需求对战略性新兴产业全要素生产率的影响研究

新发展格局下国内外市场需求对战略性新兴产业全要素生产率的影响研究

Research on the Impact of Domestic and Foreign Market Demands on Total Factor Productivity of Strategic Emerging Industries under the New Development Pattern

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在构建新发展格局的背景下,综合利用2016-2022年上市公司数据及省域数据测算了战略性新兴产业全要素生产率和内外需综合指数,从国内和国外两个维度系统考察了市场需求对战略性新兴产业全要素生产率的影响效果和作用机制,并进一步讨论国内外市场的同频共振、协调发展作用.实证检验发现,国内外市场需求总体上对战略性新兴产业全要素生产率具有显著的促进作用,且内需的作用明显大于外需,这一作用主要通过产业技术创新和产业结构优化实现;经一系列稳健性检验后这一结论仍然成立.进一步研究发现,内外需市场耦合协调水平不断取得进步,从勉强协调逐步过渡为初级协调,表明未来一定会达到两个市场同频共振、和谐共生的局面;内外需市场的互动效应有利于推动战略性新兴产业提高全要素生产率.研究表明,"十四五"时期中国战略性新兴产业既要大力发展国内市场、坚持"内主外次"的有偏性发展策略,也要把握适度原则,协调国内市场与国际市场的平衡发展.
In the context of building the new development pattern,this paper comprehensively uses the data of listed companies and provinces from 2016-2022 to calculate the total factor productivity(TFP)of strategic emerging industries and the comprehensive index of internal and external demands,and systematically examines the impact and its mechanism of market demand on strategic emerging industries,then further discusses the influence of the same frequency resonance and coordinated development of domestic and foreign markets.The study found that,in general,domestic and foreign market demands play a significant role in promoting the TFP of strategic emerging industries,and the influence of domestic demand is significantly greater than external demand.This effect is mainly achieved through industrial technology innovation and industrial structure optimization.This conclusion is still valid after robustness check.Moreover,the level of coupling coordination in internal and external market demands has continued to improve,from barely balanced to primary coordination,indicating that the two market demands will definitely reach the same frequency of resonance and harmonious coexistence in the future;the interaction between the internal and external demands are conducive to promoting strategic emerging industries to improve the TFP.The research shows that during the"14th Five-Year Plan"period,China's strategic emerging industries must vigorously develop the domestic market and adhere to the biased development strategy of"focusing on internal marketand supported by external market",while adhering to the principle of appropriate development and coordinating the development of the domestic and international markets.

new development patternstrategic emerging industriescomprehensive index of internal demandcomprehensive index of external demand

申俊喜、房琪

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南京师范大学商学院,江苏南京 210046

新发展格局 战略性新兴产业 内需综合指数 外需综合指数

2025

盐城师范学院学报(人文社会科学版)
盐城师范学院

盐城师范学院学报(人文社会科学版)

影响因子:0.188
ISSN:1003-6873
年,卷(期):2025.45(1)