首页|2017-2022年仁寿县65岁及以上老年活动性肺结核流行特征及变化趋势分析

2017-2022年仁寿县65岁及以上老年活动性肺结核流行特征及变化趋势分析

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目的 分析2017-2022年仁寿县老年人活动性肺结核患者的疫情特征和变化趋势,为制定老年人活动性肺结核防控工作策略提供依据.方法 搜集仁寿县结核病定点医院诊断并录入结核病管理信息系统中的登记日期为2017年1月1日至2022年12月31日的65岁及以上老年活动性肺结核患者的病案信息.对其人群特征、患者来源、疫情变化趋势、治疗分类等特征进行分析,使用WPS 2020进行数据处理和统计分析,组间差异采用x2检验,检验水准为α=0.05.结果 2017-2022年仁寿县共登记老年肺结核925例,其中917例(99.14%)来源于非定点医疗机构转诊,46例患者在治疗期间死亡,全死因病死率4.97%,男女比为3.74∶1;农民占96.22%;年均老年肺结核登记率由2017年的32.70/10万上升到2022年的45.78/10万,总体呈上升趋势(x2趋势=4.748,P=0.029);老年肺结核占所有登记肺结核患者比例由2017年的31.08%上升到2022年的45.78%,呈逐年上升趋势(x2趋势=28.450,P<0.001);老年肺结核患者的复治率呈逐年上升趋势(x2趋势=11.730,P<0.001);老年肺结核全死因病死率呈逐年上升趋势(x2趋势=43.054,P<0.001),老年肺结核患者年均全死因病死率是全人群的2.13倍(x2=17.211,P<0.001);老年肺结核患者随年龄组增长全死因病死率呈上升趋势(x2趋势=4.092,P=0.043);复治老年肺结核患者的全死因病死率是初治患者的3.61倍(x2=11.629,P<0.001);病原学阳性活动性肺结核病患者因结核病死率高于病原学阴性患者(x2=4.004,P=0.045).结论 2017-2022年仁寿县65岁及以上老年活动性肺结核患者的登记率呈逐年上升趋势,且在登记的全人群肺结核患者中占比在不断上升,复治率和全死因病死率也呈逐年上升趋势,提示仍需强化老年人肺结核病防控措施,尤其是老年男性、农民、复治这类人群,科学有效的老年人肺结核治疗方案和主动筛查措施仍需探索.
Epidemiological features and changing trend of pulmonary tuberculosis in elderly people aged 65 years and above in Renshou County from 2017 to 2022
Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and changing trend of elderly patients with active pulmonary tuberculosis in Renshou County from 2017 to 2022,aiming to provide a basis for the prevention and control of active pulmonary tuberculosis in the elderly.Methods Medical record of elderly patients aged 65 years and over with active tuberculosis diagnosed in the tuberculosis designated hospitals in Renshou County from January 1,2017 to December 31,2022 was collected from the tuberculosis management information system.Demographic characteristics,patient sources,epidemic trends,and treatment classification were analyzed.WPS 2020 was used for data processing and statistical analysis.The difference between groups was compared by using chi-square test,and the significance level was α=0.05.Results From 2017 to 2022,925 cases of elderly pulmonary tuberculosis were registered in Renshou County,including 917 cases(99.14%)transferred from non-designated medical institutions.Totally,46 patients died during treatment,with a male to female ratio of 3.74∶1,and the all-cause mortality was 4.97%.Farmers accounted for 96.22%of total cases.The average annual registration rate of pulmonary tuberculosis in the elderly increased from 32.70/105 in 2017 to 45.78/105 in 2022,sshowing overall upward trend(x2Trend=4.748,P=0.029).The proportion of elderly patients with pulmonary tuberculosis in all registered pulmonary tuberculosis patients increased from 31.08%in 2017 to 45.78%in 2022,showing an increasing trend(x2Trend=28.450,P<0.001).The retreatment rate of elderly patients with pulmonary tuberculosis increased yearly(x2Trend=11.730,P<0.001).The all-cause mortality of elderly patients with pulmonary tuberculosis showed an escalating trend(x2Trend=43.054,P<0.001).The average annual all-cause mortality of elderly patients with pulmonary tuberculosis was 2.13 times of that in the whole population(x2=17.211,P<0.001).The all-cause mortality of elderly patients with pulmonary tuberculosis increased with age(x2Trend=4.092,P=0.043).The all-cause mortality of retreated elderly patients with pulmonary tuberculosis was 3.61 times higher than that of newly treated patients(x2=11.629,P<0.001).The mortality of active pulmonary tuberculosis patients with positive etiology was higher than that of patients with negative etiology(x2=4.004,P=0.045).Conclusions From 2017 to 2022,the registration rate of elderly patients with active pulmonary tuberculosis aged 65 and over showed an increasing trend in Renshou County,and the proportion of registered pulmonary tuberculosis patients in the whole population was increasing.The retreatment rate and all-cause mortality also showed an increasing trend.Therefore,it is necessary to strengthen the prevention and control measures of pulmonary tuberculosis in the elderly,especially in the elderly men,farmers and retreated individuals.Scientific and effective treatment programs and active screening measures for pulmonary tuberculosis in the elderly still need to be explored.

active tuberculosiselderlyepidemic characteristicschanging trend

郑春梅、范文成、邓春梅、陈春俊

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仁寿县疾病预防控制中心,四川仁寿 620500

活动性肺结核 老年人 疫情特征 变化趋势

2024

预防医学情报杂志
中华预防医学会,四川省疾病预防控制中心

预防医学情报杂志

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.681
ISSN:1006-4028
年,卷(期):2024.40(9)
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