首页|1960-2023年淄博市法定传染病流行趋势与疾病谱变迁分析

1960-2023年淄博市法定传染病流行趋势与疾病谱变迁分析

扫码查看
目的 分析1960-2023年淄博市法定传染病流行趋势与疾病谱变迁.方法 收集1960-2023年淄博市法定传染病发病和死亡数据,采用描述性流行病学方法,分析不同年份、不同传播途径法定传染病的变化趋势.结果 1960-2023年,淄博市累计报告法定传染病35种1 039 739例,年均发病率为517.27/10万,死亡1 885例,年均死亡率为0.94/10万.总体发病率呈下降趋势(Z=-435.46,P<0.001),2004年以来报告发病率呈上升趋势(Z=157.03,P<0.001).死亡病例前5位的是流行性脑脊髓膜炎(流脑)、麻疹、流行性乙型脑炎、肝炎、艾滋病.64年间肠道传染病高发,呼吸道传染病波动较大,自然疫源及虫媒传染病呈下降趋势,血源及性传播传染病呈上升趋势.结论 1960-2023年淄博市法定传染病疫情总体呈现下降趋势,2004年以来除自然疫源及虫媒传染病发病率呈下降趋势外,其他三类传染病发病率呈现上升趋势.
Analysis on trend in notifiable infectious disease epidemiology and changes in disease spectrum in Zibo city from 1960 to 2023
Objective To analyze the epidemiological trends and changes in disease spectrums of notifiable infectious dis-eases in Zibo city from 1960 to 2023.Methods The incidence and mortality data of notifiable infectious diseases in Zibo city from 1960 to 2023 were collected,and the descriptive epidemiological method was used to analyze the changing trends of notifiable infectious diseases in different years and through different transmission routes.Results From 1960 to 2023,a total of 1 039 739 cases of 35 notifiable infectious diseases were reported in Zibo city,with an average annual inci-dence of 517.27/105.A total of 1 885 deaths were reported,with an average annual mortality of 0.94/105.The overall in-cidence showed a decreasing trend(Z=-435.46,P<0.001),and since 2004,the reported incidence has shown an up-ward trend(Z=157.03,P<0.001).The top 5 causes of death were meningococcal meningitis,measles,Japanese en-cephalitis,hepatitis,and AIDS.During the 64-year period,there was a high incidence of enteric infectious diseases,fluctua-tions in respiratory infectious diseases,a downward trend in natural and insect-borne infectious diseases,and an upward trend in blood-borne and sexually transmitted infectious diseases.Conclusion The epidemic situation of notifiable infec-tious diseases in Zibo city showed a downward trend from 1960 to 2023.Since 2004,the incidence rate of natural focal dis-eases and insect-borne infectious diseases has shown a downward trend,while the incidence rates of the other 3 types of in-fectious diseases have shown upward trends.

Notifiable infectious diseasesDisease spectrumTrend analysisZibo

张玲、孙晓明、王玲、郑加玉

展开 >

淄博市疾病预防控制中心传染病防制所,山东 255026

法定传染病 疾病谱 流行趋势 淄博

山东省淄博市医药卫生科研项目

20231705119

2024

预防医学论坛
中华预防医学会

预防医学论坛

影响因子:0.645
ISSN:1672-9153
年,卷(期):2024.30(5)