首页|腹腔镜胆囊切除效费比聚类分析及其人工智能机器学习预测模型构建

腹腔镜胆囊切除效费比聚类分析及其人工智能机器学习预测模型构建

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目的 探讨腹腔镜胆囊切除手术的效费比,并通过聚类分析及人工智能机器学习方法构建预测模型.方法 回顾性分析中山市人民医院腹腔镜胆囊切除术 206 例患者的临床资料.将患者住院总费用、总住院时间、住院至手术时间、术后住院时间、术前止痛药物应用次数、术后止痛药物应用次数等维度作为效费比指标进行聚类分析分类指标,分为三类,效费比优、中、差;以CT炎症情况、CT病灶情况、CT病灶部位、病理诊断、CA19-9、AFP、术前血糖、ALB、AST、ALT、PLT、HBG、RBC、WBC、CT距手术时间、伤口疼痛程度、手术时间、术前血压、CT病灶大小、住院至手术时间、术前禁食时间等指标作为变量,进行多分类logistic回归分析及机器学习进行预测模型构建,包括逻辑回归、线性支持向量机、支持向量机、决策树、随机森林、K近邻等分类器进行模型拟合.结果 多分类logistic回归分析显示模型拟合卡方值为 156.986,P<0.001,似然比ALB、WBC、CT距手术时间、住院至手术时间、高血压、肾脏疾病、手术人员差异有统计学意义,P值分别为 0.001、0.019、0.029、<0.001、0.005、0.027、<0.001,模型拟合分类总符合率为74.8%(即准确率为0.748).多层感知机模型K折验证评分0.461,预测评分0.802;逻辑回归模型K折验证评分 0.437,预测评分 0.726;支持向量机模型 K折验证评分 0.529,预测评分 0.755;决策树模型 K 折验证评分0.462,预测评分 0.585;随机森林模型K折验证评分 0.529,预测评分 0.726;K近邻模型K折验证评分 0.388,预测评分 0.623.结论 分析腹腔镜胆囊切除手术效费比中,机器学习建模可有效预测效费比指标,可用于术前评估,按效费比优化医疗资源分配.
Clustering analysis of cost-effectiveness ratio and construction of AI machine learning predictive model for laparoscopic cholecystectomy
Objective To investigate the cost-effectiveness ratio(CER)of laparoscopic cholecystectomy and construct predictive model using clustering analysis and AI machine learning method.Methods A retrospective analysis was conduc-ted on clinical data from 206 patients who underwent laparoscopic cholecystectomy in Zhongshan People's Hospital.Total hospitalization cost,total hospitalization time,time from admission to surgery,postoperative hospitalization time,preopera-tive analgesic application frequency,and postoperative analgesic application frequency were served as cost-effectiveness ratio indicators,which were divided into three categories:excellent cost-effectiveness ratio,moderate cost-effectiveness ratio,and poor cost-effectiveness ratio.Variables such as CT inflammation,CT lesion condition,CT lesion location,pathological diag-nosis,CA19-9,AFP,preoperative blood glucose,ALB,AST,ALT,PLT,HBG,RBC,WBC,time from CT to surgery,wound pain severity,surgery duration,preoperative blood pressure,CT lesion size,time from admission to surgery,and pre-operative fasting time were used for multi-class logistic regression analysis and machine learning model construction.Models were fitted by classifiers included logistic regression,linear SVM,SVM,decision tree,random forest,and K-nearest neigh-bors.Results Multi-class logistic regression analysis showed that the fitted chi-square value of the model was 156.986,P<0.001.The likelihood ratios of ALB,WBC,CT to surgery time,hospitalization to surgery time,hypertension,kidney dis-ease,and surgical personnel were statistically significant,and P values were 0.001,0.019,0.029,<0.001,0.005,0.027,<0.001,respectively.The overall conformity rate of the model fitting classification was74.8%(i.e.,the accuracy rate was 0.748).The K-fold validation score of multi-layer perceptron model was 0.461,and prediction score was 0.802;the K-fold validation score of logistic regression model was 0.437,and prediction score was 0.726;the K-fold validation score of the SVM model was 0.529,and prediction score was 0.755;the K-fold validation score of decision tree model was 0.462,and prediction score was 0.585;the K-fold validation score of random forest model was 0.529,and prediction score was 0.726;the K-fold validation score of K-nearest neighbors model was 0.388,and prediction score was 0.623.Conclu-sion Machine learning modeling can effectively predict cost-effectiveness indicators in the analysis of the cost-effectiveness ratio of laparoscopic cholecystectomy surgery,which can be used for preoperative evaluation and optimization of medical re-source allocation based on cost-effectiveness ratio.

laparoscopic cholecystectomycost-effectiveness ratio(CER)clustering analysisartificial intelligencema-chine learning

马玉爱、赵金燕、龚雪屹

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广东省中山市人民医院普外一科,广东中山 528403

腹腔镜胆囊切除手术 效费比 聚类分析 人工智能 机器学习

中山市医学科研项目中山市社会公益与基础研究项目

2020A020575210321133948041

2024

右江医学
右江民族医学院附属医院

右江医学

影响因子:0.779
ISSN:1003-1383
年,卷(期):2024.52(8)