首页|河南夏玉米主产区气象因素对产量的影响

河南夏玉米主产区气象因素对产量的影响

扫码查看
基于2011-2020年841个区域试验玉米品种的产量数据,结合10年间的气象数据和主要病害发生情况,分析气象因素的演变、气象因子与产量及病害的关系,明确典型低产年份影响产量的关键气象因子.结果表明,2011-2020年河南夏玉米主产区的平均气温相较过去30年明显升高1-1.5℃,降雨量显著减少,日照时数逐渐增多,平均单产呈波动增加趋势,气候产量的增产作用逐渐减弱.产量归因分析表明,气象因素是导致河南夏玉米产量差异的最主要来源,9月份气象条件是影响产量波动的最重要气象因素,其中光照时数贡献率>降雨量>平均气温,9月光照时数和降雨量的贡献率分别达28.26%、16.77%,是影响产量的限制性气象因子.产量因素中穗长、千粒重、密度、穗粒重的贡献率达16.30%、15.95%、15.36%、14.15%,在光照时数作用下显著影响产量.弯孢叶斑病、南方锈病、瘤黑粉病的贡献率达28.11%、22.49%、22.26%,在降雨量和光照时数作用下显著影响产量.
Influence of Meteorological Factors on Yield of Summer Maize in Henan Province
Based on the yield data of 841 regional-tested maize varieties from 2011 to 2020,combined with the meteorological data and the occurrence of major diseases over the past decade,this paper analyzed the evolution of meteorological factors and the relationship between meteorological factors and yield and diseases,identifying the key meteorological factors affecting yield in typical low-yield years.The results showed that the average tempera-ture of the summer maize production areas in Henan Province from 2011 to 2020 increased by 1℃ to 1.5℃ com-pared with the past 30 years.Rainfall decreased significantly,the sunshine hours increased gradually.The average unit yield showed a fluctuating increase trend,and the effect of climate on yield increase was gradually reduced.Yield attribution analysis showed that meteorological factors were the main source of yield differences in Henan summer maize,especially in September.Among the meteorological conditions,sunshine hours had the greatest influ-ence on yield fluctuation,followed by rainfall and average temperature.The contribution rates of sunshine hours and rainfall were 28.26%and 16.77%,respectively,which were the limiting meteorological factors affecting yield.Among yield factors,the contribution rates of ear length,1 000-grain weight,density,and grain weight per ear were 16.30%,15.95%,15.36%,and 14.15%,respectively,that significantly affected summer maize yield under the effect of sunshine hours.The contribution rates of curvularia leaf spot,southern rust and gall smut were 28.11%,22.49%and 22.26%,respectively,that significantly affected the yield under the effect of rainfall and sunshine hours.

MaizeMeteorological factorYieldDiseaseAttribution analysis

刘桂珍、郭书磊、魏良明、张新、刘海静、王振华、鲁晓民

展开 >

河南省农业科学院粮食作物研究所/河南省玉米生物学重点实验室,郑州 450002

河南省种业发展中心,郑州 450046

玉米 气象因素 产量 病害 归因分析

河南省玉米产业技术体系建设专项河南省重大科技专项河南省农业科学院自主创新项目河南省农业科学院粮食作物研究所自主创新项目

HARS-22-02-G12013001111002023ZC128

2024

玉米科学
吉林省农业科学院 国家玉米工程技术研究中心(吉林) 国家玉米改良中心 中国农业科技东北创新中心

玉米科学

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.163
ISSN:1005-0906
年,卷(期):2024.32(6)
  • 26