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辽宁省碳排放、碳承载力及碳压力的时空特征分析

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采用2012-2021年辽宁省化石能源消费数据、土地利用数据,通过统计数据与IPCC碳排放因子法计算辽宁省的碳排放、碳承载力及碳压力情况,对辽宁省14个地级市的碳排放、碳承载力及碳压力进行时空特征分析。结果表明:①辽宁省碳排放量呈现波动式增长态势,第一阶段稳步增长期(2012-2015年);第二阶段波动下滑期(2015-2017年);第三阶段快速回升期(2017-2021年)。②辽宁省的整体碳承载力呈现出轻微震荡持续走高的趋势,并有"双核心"特征;2012-2016年呈现出波动下降趋势,但在2019-2021年快速上涨。③辽宁省的碳压力情况日益严峻;盘锦市、沈阳市、营口市和大连市的碳压力指数超过了1且增长速度较快;辽阳市、锦州市、鞍山市的碳压力指数持续增长且即将突破1;其他城市的碳压力指数虽然逐年上升,但尚未达到0。5。
Analysis of Spatiotemporal Evolution of Carbon Emissions,Carbon Carrying Capacity and Carbon Pressure in Liaoning Province
The study used fossil energy consumption data and land use data from 2012 to 2021 in Liaoning Province,and calculated the carbon emissions,carbon carrying capacity,and carbon pressure of Liaoning Province through statistical data and IPCC Carbon Emission factor method.The spatiotemporal characteristics of carbon emissions,carbon carrying capacity,and carbon pressure in 14 prefecture level cities were analyzed.The results show that the carbon emissions indicating a fluctuating growth trend,with a steady growth period in the first stage(2012-2015);the second stage of fluctuation decline period(2015-2017)and the third stage of rapid recovery period(2017-2021).The overall carbon carrying capacity has shown a slow decline from 2012 to 2016,but rapidly increasing from 2019 to 2021.The overall carbon carrying capacity showed a slight fluctuation and continued to rise,with a"dual core"characteristic,the carbon pressure situation has becoming increasingly severe;The carbon pressure index of Panjin City,Shenyang City,Yingkou City,and Dalian City has exceeded 1 and the growth rate was fast;The carbon pressure index of Liaoyang City,Jinzhou City,and Anshan City continues to grow and was about to break through 1.Although the carbon pressure index of other cities has been increasing year by year,it has not yet reached 0.5.

carbon emissionscarbon carrying capacitycarbon pressurespatiotemporal characteristicsLiaoning Province

侯舒航

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辽宁师范大学地理科学学院,辽宁大连 110629

碳排放 碳承载力 碳压力 时空特征 辽宁省

2024

环境科学导刊
云南环境科学研究院

环境科学导刊

影响因子:0.525
ISSN:1673-9655
年,卷(期):2024.43(6)