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教育强国建设目标下高等教育专任教师资源配置标准与需求预测

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专任教师配置方案对于保障学龄人口所需的教师资源供给、促进高质量的教师队伍建设至关重要.在我国高等教育适龄人口稳步增长、普及化程度递增、对外开放逐渐深化的背景下,高等教育对专任教师资源的需求将不断增加.为加快推进教育、科技、人才一体化,建设世界重要人才中心和创新高地,必须提前规划高等教育专任教师资源配置.参照教育强国建设目标,基于充足性、可行性原则,对2023-2035年高等教育专任教师资源配置标准与需求做出长期规划:(1)根据世界教育强国生师比水平分阶段配备我国高等教育专任教师,2025年、2030年、2035年高等教育生师比分别需要降至17.2∶1、16.1∶1、15.1∶1;(2)保障我国高等教育专任教师足额配备,2025年、2030年、2035年高等教育分别需要281.3万名、380.4万名、442.2万名专任教师,考虑教师自然减员,"十五五""十六五"时期高等教育分别需要补充188.2万名、177.9万名专任教师;(3)我国高等教育需要在博士研究生培养规模方面做出较大努力,以保障未来高等教育高质量的师资充足,2025年、2030年、2035年高等教育分别需要87万名、125.1万名、154.6万名具有博士学位的专任教师,考虑教师自然减员,"十五五""十六五"时期高等教育分别需要补充61.9万名、62.3万名具有博士学位的专任教师.
Resource Allocation Standards and Demand Prediction for Full-time Teachers in Higher Education Under the Goal of Building a Leading Country in Education
The plan for the allocation of full-time faculty members is crucial for ensuring the supply of faculty resources needed by the school-age population and promoting the construction of a high-quality faculty team.In view of the background of steady growth of the school-age population for higher education,increasing popularization,and deepening opening up to the world in China,the demands for faculty resources in higher education will continue to grow.In order to accelerate the integration of education,science and technology,and talent,and to build a world-renowned talent center and innovation highland,it is necessary to plan the allocation of higher education teacher resources.Referring to the goal of building a leading country in education,based on the principles of adequacy and feasibility,a long-term plan is made for the allocation of resources for higher education full-time teachers from 2023 to 2035.(1)Higher education full-time teachers will be equipped in stages according to the leading education countries in the world.In 2025,2030,and 2035,the ratio of students to teachers in higher education needs to be reduced to 17.2∶1,16.1∶1,and 15.1∶1,respectively.(2)To ensure that full-time teachers are fully equipped,in 2025,2030,and 2035,higher education will require 2.813 million,3.804 million,and 4.422 million full-time teachers,respectively.Considering natural attrition of faculty members,an additional 1.882 million and 1.779 million full-time faculty members will be needed during the"15th Five-Year Plan"and"16th Five-Year Plan"periods.(3)Higher education needs to make significant efforts in the cultivation of doctoral students to ensure high-quality teaching staff in future higher education.In 2025,2030,and 2035,the number of full-time teachers required to obtain doctoral degrees in higher education was 0.87 million,1.251 million,and 1.546 million,respectively.Considering natural attrition of faculty members,an additional 619 thousand and 623 thousand full-time faculty members with doctoral degrees will be needed during the"15th Five-Year Plan"and"16th Five-Year Plan"periods.

building a leading country in educationhigher educationratio of students to teachersprediction of teachers'demand

胡咏梅、赵平

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北京师范大学 教育学部,北京 100875

教育强国 高等教育 生师比 教师需求预测

教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地"十四五"规划重大项目

22JJD880003

2024

重庆高教研究
重庆文理学院,重庆市高等教育学会

重庆高教研究

CHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.996
ISSN:1673-8012
年,卷(期):2024.12(4)