Objective To investigate the influencing factors of enteral nutrition therapy intolerance in HIV/AIDS patients,establish and validate a Nomogram model.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of hospitalized HIV/AIDS patients admitted to the Fourth people's Hospital of Nanning,from January 1,2015 to September 30,2021.Through the binary Logistic regression model,the risk factors for feeding intolerance in HIV/AIDS patients were explored,a Nomogram model was constructed and validated.Results A total of 174 HIV/AIDS patients were included,among which 76 patients experienced early enteral nutrition feeding intolerance(43.68%).Multivariate analysis showed that mean arterial pressure ≤ 80 mmHg[OR=2.822,95%CI(1.267,6.287)],Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Status Score Ⅱ>15 points[OR=5.625,95%CI(1.435,22.048)],mechanical ventilation application[OR=5.459,95%CI(2.046,14.564)],highly active anti-retroviral therapy[OR=2.428,95%CI(1.118,5.275)],muscle relaxant use[OR=3.833,95%CI(1.758,8.357)],CD4+T cell count ≤200·μL-1[OR=3.785,95%CI(1.126,12.724)],the number of antibiotics used>2[OR=2.365,95%CI(1.039,5.384)]were influential factors of feeding intolerance in enteral nutrition therapy in HIV/AIDS patients.A nomogram prediction model was constructed,the model AUC value was 0.849[95%CI(0.794,0.905)],with the maximum Youden index of 0.555.The optimal threshold was 0.331.The sensitivity was 88.16%,and the specificity was 67.35%.The calibration curve and decision curve indicated good consistency and benefit of the model.Conclusion The prediction model for the risk of enteral nutrition therapy intolerance in HIV/AIDS patients constructed in this study can provide a reference for medical staff to quickly identify the risk of feeding intolerance in HIV/AIDS patients and take preventive nursing measures in time.
关键词
HIV/艾滋病/肠内营养/喂养耐受/列线图/预测模型
Key words
HIV/AIDS/Enteral nutrition/Feeding tolerance/Nomogram model/Prediction model