首页|公立医院基本建设项目专项债融资成本效益及风险分析

公立医院基本建设项目专项债融资成本效益及风险分析

Cost-Benefit and Risk Analysis of Special Bond Financing for Public Hospital Infrastructure Projects

扫码查看
目的 为公立医院基本建设项目发行地方债提供融资成本效益分析模型,并揭示其内含的风险.方法 用案例法以案例医院的历史运营数据进行融资成本效益分析;用未来现金流量预估法搭建测算模型,得出分析结论.结果 以医院盈利的基期数据搭建的资金平衡模型往往可以得到未来收益能够覆盖资金成本的乐观结论,但新冠疫情发生后公立医院运营情况已发生根本转变,测算的假设条件不再成立,融资风险明显升高.结论 专项债明为地方财政投入,实则成为公立医院隐形债务,公立医院需谨慎使用地方债进行基本建设.
Objective To provide a financing cost-benefit analysis model for the issuance of local bonds for public hospital infrastructure projects,and reveals its inherent risks.Methods The case method was used to analyze the cost benefit of financing based on the historical operation data of the case hospital.The future cash flow estimation method was used to build a calculation model and draw analysis conclusions.Results The capital balance model built on the base period data of hospital profits can often obtain an optimistic conclusion that the future income can cover the capital cost.However,after the outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic,the operation situation of public hospitals had undergone fundamental changes,and the assumptions of calculation were no longer established,and the financing risk had increased significantly.Conclusion Although special bonds are clearly local financial inputs,they actually become hidden debts of public hospitals.Public hospitals need to use local bonds with caution for infrastructure construction.

Public hospitalSpecial bondFinancing risk

胡雪莲

展开 >

湖州市妇幼保健院

公立医院 专项债 融资风险

2024

医院管理论坛
北京大学

医院管理论坛

影响因子:0.807
ISSN:1671-9069
年,卷(期):2024.41(2)
  • 2