应用概率统计2024,Vol.40Issue(4) :558-571.DOI:10.12460/j.issn.1001-4268.aps.2024.2022059

具有随机投资收益过程的风险模型有限时间破产概率的一致渐近估计

Uniform Asymptotic Estimate for the Finite-Time Ruin Prob-ability in a Risk Model with Stochastic Investment Returns

程铭 王定成
应用概率统计2024,Vol.40Issue(4) :558-571.DOI:10.12460/j.issn.1001-4268.aps.2024.2022059

具有随机投资收益过程的风险模型有限时间破产概率的一致渐近估计

Uniform Asymptotic Estimate for the Finite-Time Ruin Prob-ability in a Risk Model with Stochastic Investment Returns

程铭 1王定成1
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作者信息

  • 1. 电子科技大学数学科学学院,成都,611731
  • 折叠

摘要

本文考虑一类利用càdlàg过程刻画保险盈余的随机投资收益,并利用二元上尾独立刻画保险索赔额之间相依结构的保险风险模型.一方面,本文提出条件(6),在此条件下得到该风险模型有限时间破产概率的一致渐近估计式.另一方面,考虑到条件(6)的普适性,本文发现很多重要的随机过程都满足条件(6),如Lévy过程,Vasicek模型,Cox-Ingersoll-Ross(CIR)模型和Heston模型.

Abstract

This paper establishes a risk model for an insurer with càdlàg investment returns and heavy-tailed claim sizes which are bivariate upper tail independent.On one hand,we propose condition(6),under which a uniform asymptotic estimate of the finite-time ruin probability in the risk model is obtained.On the other hand,considering the universality of condition(6),we find that the condition(6)can be easily verified by some important stochastic processes,such as the Lévy process,Vasicek model,Cox-Ingersoll-Ross(CIR)model,and Heston model.

关键词

渐近式/一致性/随机收益/破产概率/风险模型

Key words

asymptotics/uniform/stochastic return/ruin probability/risk model

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基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(71271042)

出版年

2024
应用概率统计
中国数学会概率统计学会

应用概率统计

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.263
ISSN:1001-4268
参考文献量12
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