首页|高标准农田建设对粮食生产韧性的影响研究——基于高标准农田建设试点政策的准自然实验

高标准农田建设对粮食生产韧性的影响研究——基于高标准农田建设试点政策的准自然实验

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粮食安全是国家安全的基石,在当前复杂多变的外部环境下,提升粮食生产韧性显得尤为重要.高标准农田建设作为"藏粮于地、藏粮于技"战略的重要实践,对实现粮食增产和保障国家粮食安全具有重要意义.基于高标准农田建设的准自然实验,通过熵值法测度2000-2022年全国31个省份粮食生产韧性,并运用多期双重差分法实证检验高标准农田建设对粮食生产韧性的影响.研究表明,高标准农田建设显著提升了粮食生产韧性,且该结论具有稳健性.机制分析表明,高标准农田建设通过推动农业社会化服务、农业机械化及耕地复种效应,增强了粮食生产韧性.高标准农田建设对粮食生产韧性的提升效应在粮食生产功能区、地形地貌及人力资本水平地区存在显著差异,尤其对粮食主产区、地形起伏度小及人力资本水平较高地区表现更为明显.进一步分析发现,高标准农田建设对粮食生产韧性的影响具有空间溢出效应.基于上述研究结论,从强化高标准农田建设,多维度探索粮食生产韧性驱动路径,根据具体地域特点精准施策,加强区域协同合作等方面提出了政策建议,为增强粮食生产韧性提供了参考.
Research on Impact of High-standard Farmland Construction on Grain Production Resilience——Based on Quasi-natural Experiment of High-standard Farmland Construction Pilot Policy
Grain security is the cornerstone of national security.In the current complex and changeable external environment,exploring the grain production resilience is particularly important.As an important policy practice of the"storing grain in the land and storing grain in technology"strategy,high-standard farmland construction is highly expected to achieve grain yield increase and ensure national grain security.Based on the quasi-natural experiment of high-standard farmland construction,the grain production resilience in 31 provinces across the country from 2000 to 2022 was measureed using the entropy method,and the impact of high-standard farmland construction on the grain production resilience was empirically tested using the multi-period difference-in-differences method.The study found that:the construction of high-standard farmland significantly improved the grain production resilience,and the conclusion was robust.Mechanism analysis showed that the construction of high-standard farmland improved the grain production resilience by promoting the internal path of agricultural social service,agricultural mechanization and cultivated land multiple cropping.The effect of high-standard farmland construction on the grain production resilience varied significantly among regions with different grain producing functional areas,topography,and human capital levels,and was more pronounced in grain production areas,regions with less topographic relief,and regions with higher human capital levels.Extensive analysis found that the impact of high-standard farmland construction on the grain production resilience had spatial spillover effects.The research conclusions provided a new perspective for exploring the path to enhance the grain production resilience in theory and empirical evidence for establishing and improving high-standard farmland construction in practice.

grain securitygrain production resiliencehigh-standard farmland constructiondifference-in-differences

刘佳、秦芳

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吉林农业大学经济管理学院,长春 130118

粮食安全 粮食生产韧性 高标准农田建设 双重差分

2024

农业经济与管理
东北农业大学

农业经济与管理

CHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.852
ISSN:1674-9189
年,卷(期):2024.(6)