Prediction of Suitable Areas of Solanum rostratum,Sorghum halepense and Lolium temulentum in China Based on MaxEnt Model
This study aimed to develop noxious weeds management strategies and provide scientific basis for Chinese food security and risk forewarning,etc..Therefore,we analyzed current spatial and temporal patterns and eco-driving factors of Solanum rostratum Dunal,Sorghum halepense(L.)Pers.and Lolium temulentum L.based on MaxEnt model,and predicted the patterns under different climatic conditions in future(in 2025,2070)in China.The results showed that S.rostratum Dunal was affected by precipitation in the coldest season,seasonal variations in temperature and average annual temperature under the historical climate conditions.Its suitable area was mainly distributed in Northeast and Northwest China,and the total area was 3.05 × 106 km2.In 2050 and 2070,there would be a smaller trend in suitable area under RCP 2.6 than that under historical climate,the area of suitable habitat under RCP 8.5 climate in 2050 and 2070 would be larger than that under RCP 2.6 climate.Under the historical climate,the suitable area of S.halepense(L.)Pers.with 1.63 × 106 km2 was mainly concentrated in the southeast region duing to the precipitation of the warmest season,the precipitation of the wettest month,the average daily temperature and the average temperature of the hottest season,and the area of suitable habitat would decrease in 2050,and expand in 2070.Under the historical climate,suitable area of L.temulentum L.was mainly distributed in Northeast and Southeast China because of the precipitation and seasonal variations of temperature in the warmest season,and would narrowed under the future climate.
noxious weedMaxEnt modelSolanum rostratumSorghum halepenseLolium temulentumeco-driving factorspatial and temporal patternssuitable area
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