自动化仪表2024,Vol.45Issue(11) :91-95,100.DOI:10.16086/j.cnki.issn1000-0380.2023010042

基于大数据的新能源配电网短期运行可靠性研究

Research on Short-Term Operation Reliability of New Energy Distribution Network Based on Big Data

黄晨宏 郑真 何之倬 牟锴 张堰华
自动化仪表2024,Vol.45Issue(11) :91-95,100.DOI:10.16086/j.cnki.issn1000-0380.2023010042

基于大数据的新能源配电网短期运行可靠性研究

Research on Short-Term Operation Reliability of New Energy Distribution Network Based on Big Data

黄晨宏 1郑真 1何之倬 1牟锴 1张堰华2
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作者信息

  • 1. 国网上海市电力公司青浦供电公司,上海 201700
  • 2. 上海久隆企业管理咨询有限公司,上海 200052
  • 折叠

摘要

由于新能源具有不稳定性,在接入配电网后,电网短期运行指标会发生明显的波动,严重影响了配电网短期运行可靠性以及评估结果的准确性.以历史大数据为基础,设计一种新能源配电网短期运行可靠性评估方法.在前期不断积累的大数据环境下,通过分析大数据,获取波动影响下对配电网短期运行可靠性的影响因素.构建配电网的蒙特卡洛序贯仿真系统模型,获取配电网的实时运行状态.以元件为单位展开搜索,组建元件对应的搜索状态表,获取关键指标.运用蚁群算法计算负荷点的各项指标,进而实现配电网短期运行可靠性评估.试验结果表明:所提方法可以有效评估不同接线模式下的配电网短期运行效果,并能够获取单位电量数值.该方法可以准确评估新能源配电网短期运行可靠性.

Abstract

Due to the instability of new energy,the short-term operation indexes of the grid will fluctuate significantly after connecting to the distribution network,which seriously affects the short-term operation reliability of the distribution network as well as the accuracy of the assessment results.Based on historical big data,a short-term operation reliability assessment method of new energy distribution network is designed.Under the environment of big data accumulated in the previous period,the factors affecting the short-term operation reliability of distribution networks under the influence of fluctuations are obtained by analyzing the big data.The Monte Carlo sequential simulation system model of the distribution network is constructed to obtain the real-time operation status of the distribution network.The search is carried out by component,and the corresponding search state table of the component is organized to obtain the key indexes.The ant colony algorithm is used to calculate each indicator at the load point to realize the short-term operational reliability assessment of the distribution network.The experimental results show that the proposed method can effectively evaluate the short-term operation of distribution networks under different wiring modes and obtain the value of unit power.The method can accurately assess the short-term operation reliability of new energy distribution network.

关键词

大数据/新能源/配电网/短期运行/可靠性评估/蒙特卡洛/运行状态

Key words

Big data/New energy/Distribution network/Short-term operation/Reliability assessment/Monte Carlo/Operational status

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出版年

2024
自动化仪表
中国仪器仪表学会 上海工业自动化仪表研究院

自动化仪表

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.655
ISSN:1000-0380
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