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城市安全风险特征及对风险管理的启示

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为提升城市安全风险管理的科学性、精准性、规范性,分析城市安全风险特征,提出对风险管理的启示.首先,分析风险的定义和内涵,建立城市安全风险的因果链模型,提出城市安全风险分类;然后,结合城市的静态和动态特征,分析4 类城市安全风险的特征;最后,结合城市安全风险管理实践,提出通用性的及针对4 类风险的城市安全风险管理启示.结果表明:城市安全风险表现为传统风险累积、新兴风险涌现、复杂风险加剧、极端风险频现的特征.应建立通用性的城市安全风险管理框架,以及具有针对性的风险评估和风险处置措施,并将其融入城市应急管理体系.
Characteristics of urban public safety risk and its enlightenment for risk management
In order to establish a scientific,accurate and normative urban safety risk management system,this paper makes some proposals based on the characteristics of urban safety risk.First,the urban safety risk was classified into four types according to the causal chain model which was established based on the definition and connotation of risk.Then,the characteristics of these four types of risk were analyzed considering the relevant static and dynamic urban characteristics.Last,the general and specific urban safety risk management proposals were made considering the current practice.This research shows that the characteristics of urban safety risk include accumulation of conventional risk,emergency of emerging risk,intensification of complex risk,and frequent occurrence of extreme risk.Some measures should be implemented to enhance the urban safety risk management system.The general framework of urban safety risk management should be established,and the specific risk assessment process and risk treatment measures should be implemented.Further,they should be integrated into the regular emergency management system of a city.

urban safety riskrisk managementconventional riskemerging riskcomplex riskextreme risk

张超、翁文国、陈勇、代宝乾、秦挺鑫

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中国标准化研究院 公共安全标准化研究所,北京 100191

清华大学 安全科学学院,北京 100084

深圳市城市公共安全技术研究院有限公司,广东 深圳 518046

北京市科学技术研究院 城市安全与环境科学研究所,北京 100054

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城市安全风险 风险管理 传统风险 新兴风险 复杂风险 极端风险

国家自然科学基金面上项目国家自然科学基金重点项目中国标准化研究院院长基金

7227418172034004512020Y-7502

2024

中国安全科学学报
中国职业安全健康协会

中国安全科学学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.548
ISSN:1003-3033
年,卷(期):2024.34(1)
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