首页|基于博弈论组合赋权-云模型的消防员训练损伤风险评估

基于博弈论组合赋权-云模型的消防员训练损伤风险评估

扫码查看
原文链接
  • NETL
  • NSTL
  • 万方数据
为降低消防员训练损伤发生率,从个人因素、环境因素和组织管理因素 3 个方面,提出包含19 个指标的消防员训练损伤风险评估指标体系;采用Bonferroni 有序加权平均算子(BON-OWA算子)修正层次分析法(AHP)的误差,获得各指标的主观权重;引用基于指标相关性的权重确定法(CRITIC)确定各指标的客观权重;基于博弈论组合赋权法确定各指标的组合权重;引入云模型理论,建立消防员训练损伤风险评估模型,并以河南省某消防救援大队消防员的训练为例,验证该模型的科学性.结果表明:训练装备的战技性能状况指标对消防员的训练损伤风险等级影响最大;该风险评估模型通过数据处理,可以确定消防员训练损伤风险等级;案例中,消防员在5 种不同情景下的训练损伤风险等级均为一般风险,这与模糊综合评价法所得结果一致.
Risk assessment of firefighter training injury based on game theory combinatorial weighting and cloud model
In order to reduce the incidence of firefighter training injury,a firefighter training injury risk assessment index system containing 19 indexes was proposed from three aspects:individual factors,environmental factors and organizational management factors.The BON-OWA operator was used to correct the error of analytic hierarchy process(AHP)to obtain the subjective weight,and the criteria importance through intercriteria correlation(CRITIC)method was used to determine the objective weight.The game theory combinatorial weighting method was used to integrate the subjective weight and the objective weight to determine the combined weight.The risk assessment model of firefighter training injury was established based on the cloud model theory.The scientificity of the model was verified by the firefighter training in a fire rescue brigade in Henan province.The results show that the combat equipment performance condition index has the greatest impact on the risk level of firefighter training injury;The risk assessment model can determine the risk level of firefighter training injury by data processing.In the case,risk levels of firefighter training injury under five different scenarios are all general risk,which is consistent with the risk level obtained by the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method.

game theory combinatorial weightingcloud modelfirefighter training injuryrisk assessmentBonferroni-ordered weighted averaging(BON-OWA)operator

陈娜、胡毅彤、袁英峰、秦向南、刘军

展开 >

郑州大学 力学与安全工程学院,河南 郑州 450001

河南省消防救援总队,河南 郑州 450004

郑州大学 水利与交通学院,河南 郑州 450001

中国地震应急搜救中心,北京 100049

展开 >

博弈论组合赋权 云模型 消防员训练损伤 风险评估 Bonferroni有序加权平均算子(BON-OWA算子)

国家重点研发计划中国职业安全健康协会创新创业项目郑州大学基础研究培育基金

2022YFC3004405CXCY-2021-01JC21532027

2024

10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2024.04.1247

中国安全科学学报
中国职业安全健康协会

中国安全科学学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子：1.548
ISSN：1003-3033
年,卷(期)：2024.34(4)
  • 15