首页|基于SSA-RBF神经网络的煤自然发火预测模型

基于SSA-RBF神经网络的煤自然发火预测模型

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为解决传统煤自燃预测模型预测状态单一和预测精度不高的问题,提出基于麻雀搜索算法(SSA)优化的径向基(RBF)神经网络煤自然发火预测模型.首先,采用程序升温试验分析煤样指标气随温度的变化特征,将煤自然发火过程按煤温分为缓慢(80≤ti<120℃)、加速(120≤ti<160℃)和激烈(ti≥160℃)3 个氧化阶段,同时分析这 3 个阶段指标气与煤温的灰色关联度;其次通过不同维度测试函数检验粒子群算法(PSO)、灰狼算法(GWO)和SSA算法性能;最后利用 6 个矿区数据验证基于SSA-RBF神经网络的煤自燃预测模型的优越性.结果显示,缓慢氧化阶段CO/ΔO2、CO、C2H4 这3 种指标气体与煤温的灰色关联系数最大;而加速氧化阶段C2H4/C2H6、CO/ΔO2、CO2/CO3 种指标与煤温的灰色关联系数最大.3 种不同维度函数的测试结果表明:SSA与PSO、GWO相比具有更好的全局搜索能力和稳定性,其收敛速度更快;神经元数量为 5 个、迭代次数为300 次时,SSA-RBF神经网络预测模型对缓慢氧化和加速氧化阶段的预测准确性分别达到了 99%和93%.
Prediction model of coal spontaneous combustion based on SSA-RBF neural network
To solve the problems of single prediction state and insufficient prediction accuracy of the traditional coal spontaneous combustion prediction model,a prediction model based on RBF neural network optimized by SSA was proposed.Firstly,the temperature programmed test was used to analyze the variation characteristics of the index gas of coal samples with temperature.The coal spontaneous combustion process was divided into slow oxidation stage(80≤ti<120℃),accelerated oxidation stage(120≤ti<160℃)and intense oxidation stage(ti≥160℃)with coal temperature as the node.At the same time,the grey correlation degree between the index gas and coal temperature in each stage of coal spontaneous combustion was analyzed.Secondly,the performance of Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO),Grey Wolf Optimization(GWO)and SSA algorithm was tested by different dimension test functions.Finally,the superiority of the RBF neural network optimized by SSA algorithm to the coal spontaneous combustion prediction model was verified by using six mining area data.The results show that the grey correlation coefficients of CO/ΔO2,CO and C2H4 with coal temperature are the largest in the slow oxidation stage.The grey correlation coefficient between C2H4/C2H6,CO/ΔO2,CO2/CO and coal temperature is the largest in the accelerated oxidation stage.The test results of three different dimensional functions show that SSA has better global search ability,stability and faster convergence speed compared with PSO and GWO.When the number of neurons is 5 and the number of iterations is 300,the prediction accuracy of the SSA-RBF neural network prediction model for the slow and accelerated oxidation stages reaches 99%and 93%respectively.

sparrow search algorithm(SSA)radial basis function(RBF)coal spontaneous combustionprediction modelindicator gasgrey relational analysis

高飞、梁宁、贾喆、侯青

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辽宁工程技术大学 安全科学与工程学院,辽宁 葫芦岛 125130

矿山热动力灾害与防治教育部重点实验室,辽宁 葫芦岛 125130

河北冀中能源股份有限公司,河北 邢台 054099

麻雀搜索算法(SSA) 径向基函数(RBF)神经网络 煤自然发火 预测模型 指标气 灰色关联度

国家自然基金面上项目资助

51874161

2024

中国安全科学学报
中国职业安全健康协会

中国安全科学学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.548
ISSN:1003-3033
年,卷(期):2024.34(8)