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考虑乘客异质性和群组效应的开敞甲板疏散模拟

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为提高乘客在开敞甲板发生事故时的疏散效率,保障乘客安全,在考虑乘客异质性和群组效应的基础上,采用AnyLogic软件构建乘客的异质性疏散模型,并构建单人组、双人组、3人组及混合组4种疏散场景,模拟异质性乘客在不同群组规模情况下的疏散过程.结果表明:总体疏散时间随群组规模的增大呈非线性增加,乘客在双人组、3人组和混合组场景下疏散时间分别比单人组场景下多11.8%、19.6%和15.5%,且4种疏散场景中乘客抵达疏散终点的高峰期均位于疏散的前中期;在群组疏散时,乘客的期望速度越快,其抵达时间分布则更为离散.结果突显乘客异质性和群组效应在疏散过程中的相互影响.
Simulation of open deck evacuation considering passenger heterogeneity and group effect
To improve the evacuation efficiency and ensure the safety of passengers on an open deck in the event of an accident,a heterogeneous evacuation model considering passenger heterogeneity and group effect was constructed using AnyLogic software.Four simulated evacuation scenarios,including individuals,two-person,three-person and mixed groups,were constructed,and the evacuation process of heterogeneous passengers under different group sizes was simulated.The results indicate that with the increase of the group size,the total evacuation time increases nonlinearly.Specifically,the evacuation time for passengers in two-person,three-person and mixed-group scenarios is 11.8%,19.6%and 15.5%longer than that in individual evacuations,respectively.Additionally,the peak of passengers'arrival at the terminal occurs in the early and middle stages of evacuation.In group evacuations,the higher expected passenger speed correlates with more dispersed arrival time distributions.These findings highlight the interaction effect between heterogeneous passengers and group effect in the evacuation process.

heterogeneity of passengersgroup effectcruise ship evacuationevacuation simulationopen deck

杨光照、蔡薇、胡敏、王珺、陈顺洪、丁彦铭

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武汉理工大学绿色智能江海直达船舶与邮轮游艇研究中心,湖北武汉 430063

武汉理工大学安全科学与应急管理学院,湖北武汉 430063

广州船舶及海洋工程设计研究院,广东 广州 510220

中国地质大学(武汉)工程学院,湖北武汉 430070

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乘客异质性 群组效应 邮轮疏散 疏散模拟 开敞甲板

2024

中国安全科学学报
中国职业安全健康协会

中国安全科学学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.548
ISSN:1003-3033
年,卷(期):2024.34(11)