首页|基于土地利用变化的城市生境质量时空分异格局及影响因素

基于土地利用变化的城市生境质量时空分异格局及影响因素

扫码查看
生境质量作为区域生物多样性能力的重要表征,对于维护区域生态格局稳定、推动经济与生态协调发展具有重要意义.以江苏苏州市为例,基于 2000、2010、2020 年的土地利用数据模拟 2030 年土地利用类型,采用INVEST与CA-Markov模型分析预测苏州市土地利用变化,通过标准差椭圆、重心分析、随机森林模型等空间分析方法,揭示其生境质量时空分异特征及其影响因素.结果表明:1)2000-2030 年苏州市土地利用类型变化表现为耕地面积、建设用地面积、未利用地面积显著增加,水域、林地面积呈现逐渐缩减的态势.2)生境质量空间格局整体呈现中间高、四周低的斑块化布局,较高及高等级生境质量主要集中于区域内的水域、山地,低等级生境质量主要集中于区域内的城镇建设用地;随着时间变化,生境质量呈现逐渐下降的趋势,且生境质量重心呈现"东北—西南"的"C"型迁移轨迹.3)生境质量时空分异特征是由空间格局、社会经济、土地利用、地表覆盖、自然环境等多种因素共同作用的结果,其中土地利用与地表覆盖的影响最大.因此,推动土地利用结构优化调整、聚焦生境质量最突出的山地与湖泊地带是未来的规划重点.
Spatial and Temporal Variation Patterns of Urban Habitat Quality and Its Influencing Factors Based on Land Use Change
Habitat quality,as an important characterization of regional biodiversity capacity,is of great significance for maintaining the stability of the regional ecological pattern and promoting the coordinated economic and ecological development.The study takes the land use data in 2000,2010,and 2020 in Suzhou City,Jiangsu Province to simulate the land uses in 2030,and analyze and predict the land use change using the INVEST and CA-Markov models.Spatial analysis methods such as standard deviation ellipse,center of gravity analysis,and random forest model are used to reveal the characteristics of spatial and temporal differentiation of habitat quality in Suzhou and analyze its influencing factors.The results show that:1)The changes in land use in Suzhou from 2000 to 2030 present the significant increase in the area of cultivated land,construction land and un-utilized land,and the gradual shrinkage in the area of water bodies and forest land;2)The spatial pattern of habitat quality generally presents a patchy layout,high in the center and low in the surrounding areas.The water bodies and mountains in the region have the habitat quality of relatively high and high grade,while the urban construction land has a low-grade habitat quality.With the change of time,the habitat quality showed a downward trend,and the center of gravity of the habitat quality showed a"C"type migration trajectory of"northeast-southwest";and 3)The spatial and temporal differentiation characteristics of habitat quality result from the combined action of various factors including spatial pattern,socioeconomy,land use,land cover,and natural environment.Among them,land use and land cover have the greatest impact.In the sense,the future planning should place an importance on the optimization and adjustment of land use structure and the mountainous areas and water bodies with the best habitat quality.

land use changehabitat qualityCA-Markov modelINVEST modelspatial and temporal variation

李志杰、黄贵超、马訾懿、周国艳

展开 >

苏州大学金螳螂建筑学院 江苏苏州 215000

博雅达勘测规划设计集团有限公司 江苏苏州 215000

土地利用变化 生境质量 CA-Markov模型 INVEST模型 时空分异

江苏省研究生科研创新与实践计划项目

SJCX21-1347

2024

中国城市林业
中国林业科学研究院

中国城市林业

影响因子:0.467
ISSN:1672-4925
年,卷(期):2024.22(2)
  • 28