首页|预测肝癌患者微血管侵犯、术后转归和复发的CT放射组学模型

预测肝癌患者微血管侵犯、术后转归和复发的CT放射组学模型

扫码查看
目的 基于放射组学创建肝癌患者微血管侵犯和术后复发的预测模型,并评估其预测价值.方法 2015年1月~2017年1月在我院确诊并进行肝切除手术的360例早期肝癌患者根据随机数字表法被分为训练组(240例)和验证组(120例).对两组患者术前的CT影像资料和病理资料进行分析,通过逐层勾勒获得三维感兴趣区域,并提取影像特征,采用LASSO(least absolute shrinkage and selection operator)回归进行降维处理并进行十折交叉验证,获得CT特征并建立预测模型,采用受试工作者特征曲线(receiver operating characteristic curve,ROC)判定预测模型的预测价值.结果 训练组和验证组在性别、年龄、乙肝表面抗原、ALT、AST、GGT、TBIL、DBIL、AFP、肿瘤最大直径、Child-Pugh 分级、肿瘤微血管侵犯上差异均无统计学意义(P>0.05).针对微血管侵犯,共获得10个特异性的特征参数,对应模型在训练组的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)为:0.705(95%CI:0.640~0.770),敏感度71.42%,特异度58.97%;在验证组中的AUC为:0.745(95%CI:0.679~0.810),敏感度75.00%,特异度66.17%.针对术后3年的复发,共获得13个特异性特征参数,对应模型在训练组的AUC为0.720(95%CI:0.629~0.812),敏感度72.22%,特异度70.49%;在验证组中的AUC为0.753(95%CI:0.666~0.839),敏感度70.27%,特异度69.86%.结论 CT放射组学模型对肝癌微血管侵犯和术后复发均具有较高的预测价值.
Establishment of CT Radiomics Model for Predicting Microvascular Invasion,Postoperative Outcome And Recurrence in Patients with Liver Cancer
Objective To establish CT radiomics models for predicting microvascular invasion,postoperative outcome and recurrence and to evaluate its predictive value in patients with liver cancer.Methods 360 patients from January 2015 to January 2017with early liver cancer who were diagnosed and underwent hepatectomy in our hospital were divided into training group(240 cases)and validation group(120 cases)according to the random number table method.The pre-operation CT image data and pathological data of the two groups were analyzed,the three-dimensional region of interest were obtained by outlining layer by layer,and the image features were extracted.The lasso(least absolute shrinkage and selection operator)regression was used to reduce the dimension and ten fold cross validation was conducted to obtain the CT features and establish the prediction model,Receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC)was used to determine the predictive value of the prediction model.Results There was no significant difference between the training group and the validation group in gender,age,hepatitis B surface antigen,alt,AST,GGT,TBIL,DBIL,AFP,maximum tumor diameter,child Pugh grade,tumor microvascular invasion(P>0.05).For microvascular invasion,a total of 10 specific characteristic parameters were obtained.The area under the ROC curve(AUC)of the corresponding model in the training group was 0.705(95%CI:0.640~0.770),with a sensitivity of 71.42%and a specificity of 58.97%;The AUC in the validation group was 0.745(95%CI:0.679~0.810),with a sensitivity of 75.00%and a specificity of 66.17%.For the recurrence of 3 years after operation,a total of 13 specific characteristic parameters were obtained.The AUC of the corresponding model in the training group was 0.720(95%CI:0.629~0.812),with a sensitivity of 72.22%and a specificity of 70.49%;In the validation group,the AUC was 0.753(95%CI:0.666~0.839),the sensitivity was 70.27%,and the specificity was 69.86%.Conclusion CT radiomics model has high predictive value for microvascular invasion and postoperative recurrence of liver cancer.

Liver CancerMicrovascular invasionRecurrenceCTRadiomicsReceiver Operating Characteristic Curve

朱晓青、丁冠融

展开 >

上海交通大学医学院附属第九人民医院放射科(上海 黄浦 200011)

肝癌 微血管侵犯 复发 CT 放射组学 受试工作者特征曲线

江苏省老年健康科研项目

LD2021033

2024

中国CT和MRI杂志
北京大学深圳临床医学院 北京大学第一医院

中国CT和MRI杂志

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.578
ISSN:1672-5131
年,卷(期):2024.22(6)