Research on carbon peaking of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration based on the influencing factors of energy carbon emissions
This paper measures the carbon emissions of energy consumption in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration in 2005-2022 according to the carbon emission factor method,and analyses the influencing factors of carbon emissions in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration using the extended STIRPAT model.The scenario analysis method is used to predict the year of carbon peaking and carbon emissions in three different scenarios.The results show that the population size,GDP per capita,energy consumption,and urbanisation rate significantly affect carbon emissions;Beijing achieved the earliest carbon peak in 2025 under the benchmark scenario and clean development scenario;Tianjin achieved the earliest carbon peak in 2025 under the clean development scenario and green development scenario;Hebei Province achieved the earliest carbon peak in 2027 under the clean development scenario and green development scenario.Finally,according to the characteristics of each region,a differentiated carbon peak realisation path is formulated to promote the early realization of the carbon peak target of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration.
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
