首页|中国城市PM2.5污染暴露不平等及其驱动因素——基于Theil指数和LMDI分解

中国城市PM2.5污染暴露不平等及其驱动因素——基于Theil指数和LMDI分解

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聚焦大气污染物PM2。5,对2015~2021年污染物浓度进行人口规模赋权,构建中国城市PM2。5污染暴露水平指标,基于GINI系数和Theil指数测度污染暴露不平等,并按城市行政层级、省份进行差异分解;基于对数平均迪氏指数分解法(LMDI),分别对污染暴露水平、不平等程度进行驱动因素分解,探究其变化背后的社会经济因素。结果表明:中国城市PM2。5污染暴露不平等总体温和,GINI系数保持在0。2以内且呈递减趋势。不同行政级别城市间未表现出污染暴露不平等,而省际差异对污染暴露不平等的贡献达68。4%;总体上能源的污染暴露乘数、政府绿色支出能耗强度是PM2。5污染暴露水平的主要抑制因素,对污染暴露水平的驱动贡献超过60%。政府支出结构、支出规模、经济发展和人口因素对PM2。5污染暴露起促增作用,但各因素在不同层级的城市间具有异质性;能源的污染暴露乘数、绿色支出能耗强度对不平等的动态抑制作用弱化,主要依靠能源绿色化的治污策略面临挑战。据此提出更好发挥政府作用,持续降低中国PM2。5污染暴露水平,实现环境公共服务更加均等化的政策启示。
Inequality of PM2.5 exposure and its driving factors in China:Based on Theil index and LMDI decomposition
Focused on the main air pollutant PM2.5,this study specifically utilized population-weighted concentration from 2015 to 2021 to create an index of PM2.5 exposure in Chinese cities.We then measured the inequality of pollution exposure using the GINI coefficient and Theil index,decomposing it by city administrative level and province.Finally,the logarithmic mean Divisia index model(LMDI)was selected to analyze the driving factors of PM2.5 exposure and inequality,investigating the socio-economic factors behind their changes.Our finding showed that GINI coefficient remained within 0.2 and decreased over time,implying PM2.5 exposure inequality in China was mild.Inequality in pollution exposure was not observed between cities with different administrative levels,but more prominent among provinces.In general,the pollution exposure by unit source and the energy-saving effect of government green expenditure were the main inhibiting factors of PM2.5,which contributed more than 60%to the pollution exposure level,while government expenditure structure,government expenditure scale,economic development,and population factors increased PM2.5 exposure.However,each factor was heterogeneous among cities at different levels.Over time,inhibitors to pollution inequality,such as pollution exposure by unit source and the energy-saving effect of government green expenditure were weakened,which posed challenges to the pollution control strategy mainly relying on green energy.Based on our findings,we recommended that government should play a more active role in reducing PM2.5 exposure levels and achieving more equalization of environmental public services.

air qualitypollution exposureenvironmental inequalityTheil indexdynamic decomposition analysisPM2.5

马本、秦露、夏天辰

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中国人民大学环境学院,北京 100872

大气质量 污染暴露水平 环境不平等 泰尔指数 动态因素分解 PM2.5

国家自然科学基金青年基金资助项目

72103194

2024

中国环境科学
中国环境科学学会

中国环境科学

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.174
ISSN:1000-6923
年,卷(期):2024.44(1)
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