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欧盟碳边境调节机制对产品出口成本影响评估

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碳边境调节机制(CBAM)带来的产品出口成本影响存在较高的不确定性.通过剖析CBAM条例规则,对CBAM关键要素的核算范围与规则进行研判,提出了评估CBAM出口成本影响的方法学框架,并以粗钢产品为例开展了实证研究.结果表明,在CBAM的系统边界与排放核算范围内,我国1t转炉粗钢的嵌入排放为1.73tCO2eq,我国向欧盟出口粗钢产品的增量成本为37.26欧元/t.基于评估结果并统筹考虑我国与欧盟的气候政策体系差异,提出了包括隐性碳价谈判、降低产品碳排放强度、调整出口结构在内的多项应对CBAM的政策建议.
Impact assessment of the EU carbon border adjustment mechanism on product export costs
The Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism(CBAM)introduces significant uncertainty regarding the impact on product export costs.By analyzing the regulations governing CBAM and evaluating the accounting scope and rules of its key elements,a methodological framework for assessing the impact of CBAM on export costs was proposed,with empirical research conducted using crude steel products as a case study.Results show that within the system boundary and emission accounting scope of CBAM,the embedded carbon emissions of 1t of converter crude steel in China is 1.73tCO2eq,and the incremental cost of China's crude steel export to the EU is 37.26euros/t.Based on the above assessment results and considering the differences in climate policy systems between China and the EU,several policy recommendations to address CBAM were put forward,including negotiating the implicit carbon price,reducing the carbon intensity of products and adjusting the export structure.

carbon border adjustment mechanismembedded emissionsimpact assessmentiron and steel industry

张蓝心、温宗国、许毛、胡喆

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清华大学环境学院,清华大学工业节能与绿色发展评价中心,北京 100084

碳边境调节机制(CBAM) 嵌入排放 影响评估 钢铁行业

国家自然科学基金资助项目

72140008

2024

中国环境科学
中国环境科学学会

中国环境科学

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.174
ISSN:1000-6923
年,卷(期):2024.44(4)
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