华北平原地区HCFC-142b排放清单建立及环境影响分析

HCFC-142b emission inventory in North China plain and environmental impact analysis

张大宇 ¹吴婧 ²王彤 ²刘泽华 ¹胡冬梅 ¹彭林²

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作者信息

1. 华北电力大学环境科学与工程学院,资源环境系统优化教育部重点实验室,北京 102206
2. 北京交通大学环境学院,智能交通绿色低碳技术教育部工程研究中心,北京 100044;北京交通大学,交通能源与环境研究院,北京 100044
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摘要

选择华北平原地区作为研究对象,采用排放因子法建立该区域2000～2060年HCFC-142b排放清单,探讨了其空间分布特征,并对不同行业开展了排放结果的敏感性分析.结果显示,该地区2000～2019年HCFC-142b累计排放量为34.0kt.其中,江苏、山东和河南是排放量最大省份,累计排放量分别为595.1t、267.6t和196.5t.XPS泡沫排放最大,其次是ICR行业,两个行业对排放结果最敏感的因子分别是初始排放因子和设备废弃率.排放预测显示,在《蒙特利尔议定书》管控下,该地区2020～2060年的累计减排潜力为151.9kt(9.9ktCFC-11-eq;350.9mtCO2-eq).

Abstract

The North China plain was selected as research region,the emission factor method was used to establish the HCFC-142b emission inventory from 2000 to 2060,its spatial distribution characteristics were discussed,and the sensitivity analysis of emission results was carried out for different sectors.The results showed that the cumulative emissions of HCFC-142b from 2000 to 2019 were 34.0kt in this region.Jiangsu,Shandong and Henan had the largest emissions,with cumulative emissions of 595.1t,267.6t and 196.5t,respectively.Emissions from XPS was largest,followed by ICR.The most sensitive factors were initial emission factor and equipment disposed rate in XPS and ICR sector,respectively.The projected emissions show that under the control of the Montreal Protocol,the cumulative emission reduction potential of North China will reach 151.9kt(9.9kt CFC-11-eq;350.9mt CO2-eq)from 2020 to 2060.

关键词

臭氧类消耗/全球变暖/华北平原地区/排放清单/减排潜力

Key words

ozone consumption/global warming/North China plain/emission inventory/emission reduction potential

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基金项目

国家自然科学基金(42375184)

北京交通大学人才基金(2023JBRC001)

细颗粒物与臭氧协同控项目(DQGG202109)

出版年

2024

中国环境科学

中国环境科学学会

中国环境科学

CSTPCDCSCDCHSSCD北大核心

影响因子：2.174

ISSN：1000-6923

被引量1

参考文献量22

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