中国经济问题2024,Issue(4) :48-63.DOI:10.19365/j.issn1000-4181.2024.04.04

投资结构优化对中国转型时期经济增长的影响——基于贸易保护主义应对视角

The Impact of Investment Structure Optimization on China's Economic Growth During the Transition Period:A Perspective on Dealing with Trade Protectionism

贺京同 魏哲 汪震
中国经济问题2024,Issue(4) :48-63.DOI:10.19365/j.issn1000-4181.2024.04.04

投资结构优化对中国转型时期经济增长的影响——基于贸易保护主义应对视角

The Impact of Investment Structure Optimization on China's Economic Growth During the Transition Period:A Perspective on Dealing with Trade Protectionism

贺京同 1魏哲 1汪震1
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作者信息

  • 1. 南开大学经济学院
  • 折叠

摘要

本文基于中国投资效率低下等经济特征,借鉴现有文献构建一个考虑中间品贸易、行业间联系与投资效率的理论模型,研究在贸易保护主义盛行背景下,优化投资结构对中国经济增长的潜在影响.理论研究表明,投资效率低下(与贸易成本增加)会抑制经济增长;而优化投资结构不仅能直接提升一国产出,还能通过降低生产成本、优化产值结构缓解贸易冲击对经济增长的负面影响.应用此分析框架,结合32个国家2000-2014年跨国投入产出数据,本文进行了实证分析,结论表明:无论贸易环境如何改变,优化投资结构均可有效助力中国经济稳定,是缓解当下贸易保护主义的有益举措.

Abstract

This paper,based on economic characteristics such as low investment efficiency in China,draws from ex-isting literature to construct a theoretical model that considers intermediate goods trade,inter-industry linkages,and invest-ment efficiency.It investigates the potential impact of optimizing investment structure on China's economic growth in the context of prevailing trade protectionism.The theoretical research indicates that low investment efficiency(associated with increased trade costs)hinders economic growth.However,optimizing investment structure can not only directly enhance a country's output but also mitigate the negative effects of trade shocks on economic growth by reducing production costs and optimizing value-added structures.Using this analytical framework and combining cross-border input-output data from 32 countries for the period 2000-2014,this paper conducts empirical analysis.The findings suggest that regardless of changes in the trade environment,optimizing investment structure can effectively support the stability of the Chinese economy,mak-ing it a beneficial measure for alleviating current trade protectionism.

关键词

投资结构/资本配置/对外贸易/经济增长

Key words

investment structure/capital allocation/foreign trade/economic growth

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基金项目

国家社科基金重大项目(21ZDA037)

出版年

2024
中国经济问题
厦门大学经济研究所

中国经济问题

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.493
ISSN:1000-4181
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