中国新能源汽车产业人才需求预测研究
The Research on Talent Demand Prediction of China's New Energy Vehicle Industry
刘宗巍 1宋昊坤 1赵福全1
作者信息
- 1. 智能绿色车辆与交通全国重点实验室,北京 100084;清华大学(车辆与运载学院)汽车产业与技术战略研究院,北京 100084
- 折叠
摘要
为科学预测中国新能源汽车(NEV)产业人才需求以便为中国NEV产业人才队伍建设提供参考,本文采用定性分析与定量分析相结合的研究方法,对NEV产业人才需求进行预测.首先,厘清NEV产业人才的结构,将其分为领军人才、研发技术人才、生产制造人才、销售服务人才和其他人才5 类,并提出他们的新特征.其次,聚焦NEV产业人才中的增量部分,即NEV产业研发技术人才,将其分为材料/工艺工程师、结构/硬件开发工程师、性能开发工程师、系统集成工程师、测试及试验工程师和运维工程师6 个类型.然后,构建分层级、多指标的NEV产业人才需求预测模型,在NEV产业可能出现的快速发展、稳步发展和缓慢发展3 类不同情景下,预测2023-2025 年NEV产业研发技术人才的需求量,分别为22.7万～26.0 万人、24.4 万～28.7 万人、26.1 万～31.4 万人.
Abstract
In order to scientifically predict the talent demand of China's new energy vehicle(NEV)industry and provide reference for the construction of China's NEV industry talent team,talent demand of NEV industry was predicted in the way of qualitative and quantita-tive analysis.First,NEV industrial talents were clarified and divided into 5 types,which are leading talents,research and development(R&D)talents,production and manufacturing talents,sales and service talents and other talents.Their new feature de-mands were also put forward.Next,R&D talents of NEV industry were further focused on,which are the incremental part of NEV in-dustry talents.They were classified into 6 different groups,which are material/process engineers,structure/hardware development en-gineers,performance development engineers,system integration engineers,test engineers as well as operation and maintenance engi-neers.Then,a prediction model with hierarchies and indexes was constructed to forecast their quantity demand from 2023 to 2025.Prediction results were shown considering 3 possible situations of China's NEV industry development,which are fast development,steady development and slow development.The R&D talent demands from 2023 to 2025 are separately 227000 to 260000,244000 to 287000 and 261000 to 314000.
关键词
新能源汽车/人才结构预测/人才数量预测Key words
New energy vehicle/Talent structure prediction/Prediction of talent quantity引用本文复制引用
出版年
2023
NETL
NSTL
维普
万方数据