Research on Frontier Technology Identification in Strategic Emerging Industry——A Case Study on Quantum Computing
In the background of technological competition,identifying emerging frontier technologies is crucial for understanding the trajectory of technological innovation,informing strategic planning,and fostering industrial development and transformation.This study focuses on funds,papers and patents as analytical subjects.Firstly,the LDA topic model is employed to discern topics,subsequently constructing a topic co-occurrence network based on topic relationships.Then,according to the characteristics of emerging frontier tech-nology,multi-dimensional evaluation metrics are formulated considering timing,informetrics,structure and evolution.A multi-source data correlation analysis framework is proposed.Finally,based on the comprehensive calculation results,topic type discrimination is undertaken to explore the development patterns of topics.Empirical research in the field of quantum computing reveals different types of topics,including potential emerging frontier technology,growth emerging frontier technology,robust emerging frontier technology,hot frontier technology and early topics.These insights provide reference and guidance for future frontier technology strategies.