首页|战略性新兴产业前沿技术探测研究——以量子计算领域为例

战略性新兴产业前沿技术探测研究——以量子计算领域为例

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在科技竞争背景下,新兴前沿技术探测有助于把握科技创新发展态势,支撑科技战略规划,促进产业发展变革.本文以基金、论文和专利文本为分析对象,首先使用LDA主题模型识别主题,并基于主题间的共现关系构建主题共现网络;其次根据新兴前沿技术特征,从时序、计量、结构和演化视角建立新兴前沿技术多维评价指标体系,提出多源数据关联分析框架;最后根据综合计算结果判别主题类型,从而探究主题发展规律.以量子计算领域进行实证研究,探测潜在型新兴前沿技术、成长型新兴前沿技术、健壮型新兴前沿技术、热点前沿技术和早期主题等不同类型的主题,为未来前沿技术布局提供参考.
Research on Frontier Technology Identification in Strategic Emerging Industry——A Case Study on Quantum Computing
In the background of technological competition,identifying emerging frontier technologies is crucial for understanding the trajectory of technological innovation,informing strategic planning,and fostering industrial development and transformation.This study focuses on funds,papers and patents as analytical subjects.Firstly,the LDA topic model is employed to discern topics,subsequently constructing a topic co-occurrence network based on topic relationships.Then,according to the characteristics of emerging frontier tech-nology,multi-dimensional evaluation metrics are formulated considering timing,informetrics,structure and evolution.A multi-source data correlation analysis framework is proposed.Finally,based on the comprehensive calculation results,topic type discrimination is undertaken to explore the development patterns of topics.Empirical research in the field of quantum computing reveals different types of topics,including potential emerging frontier technology,growth emerging frontier technology,robust emerging frontier technology,hot frontier technology and early topics.These insights provide reference and guidance for future frontier technology strategies.

Emerging frontier technologyStrategic emerging industryQuantum computingTechnology identificationCo-occurrence network

刘盼盼、王丽

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中国科学院武汉文献情报中心,湖北武汉 430071

中国科学院大学经济与管理学院信息资源管理系,北京 100190

中国科学院文献情报中心,北京 100190

新兴前沿技术 战略性新兴产业 量子计算 技术探测 共现网络

中国科学院文献情报能力建设专项中国科学院战略研究专项

292022000399GHJ-ZLZX-2022-21-1

2024

中国科技论坛
中国科学技术发展战略研究院

中国科技论坛

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.081
ISSN:1002-6711
年,卷(期):2024.(6)