中国科技论坛2024,Issue(8) :124-136.

基于五大城市群的世界重要人才中心和创新高地韧性监测与预警研究

Research on Resilience Monitoring and Early Warning Based on the World's Important Talent Centers and Innovation Highlands in Five Major Urban Agglomerations

刘伯良 刘小芳 王磊 张向前
中国科技论坛2024,Issue(8) :124-136.

基于五大城市群的世界重要人才中心和创新高地韧性监测与预警研究

Research on Resilience Monitoring and Early Warning Based on the World's Important Talent Centers and Innovation Highlands in Five Major Urban Agglomerations

刘伯良 1刘小芳 1王磊 2张向前1
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作者信息

  • 1. 上海应用技术大学人文学院,上海 201418
  • 2. 中国海洋大学国际事务与公共管理学院,山东青岛 266100
  • 折叠

摘要

本文基于长三角、珠三角、京津冀、长江中游和成渝五大城市群的世界重要人才中心和创新高地韧性演化过程,识别包括多样性、网络性、进化性、流动性、缓冲性等韧性特征,建立世界重要人才中心和创新高地的预警体系.实证分析2018-2021年中国建设世界重要人才中心和创新高地五大城市群的情况,得出以下结论:①就时间推移而言,各城市群韧性值整体呈现上升趋势,缓冲性维度值也呈现波浪式上升趋势,表明各城市群抵御风险的能力较强;②就空间分布而言,各城市群韧性值差异波动较大,表明城市群之间的发展呈现明显的地域差异.根据实证研究结论提出,中国需要进一步加强世界重要人才中心和创新高地的内部结构和功能体系,加强人才和教育培养支持力度,建立健全韧性监测与预警体系.

Abstract

This paper is based on the resilient evolution process of major global talent centers and innovation hubs in five major urban agglomerations:the Yangtze River Delta,the Pearl River Delta,the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,the Middle Yangtze River,and the Chengdu-Chongqing region.It identifies resilience characteristics including diversity,connectivity,adaptability,mobility,and buffering capacity,and establishes an early warning system for major global talent centers and innovation hubs.An empirical analysis of the development of these five urban agglomerations from 2018 to 2021 in building major global talent centers and innovation hubs leads to the following conclusions:①In terms of temporal progression,the overall resilience values of each urban agglomeration show an up-ward trend,and the values of the buffering capacity dimension also exhibit a wave-like upward trend,indicating that the ability of each urban agglomeration to resist risks is relatively strong.②In terms of spatial distribution,the resilience values of various urban agglomer-ations fluctuate significantly,indicating significant regional disparities in the development among urban agglomerations in China.Based on the empirical research results,China needs to further strengthen the internal structure and functional systems of world-important tal-ent centers and innovation high grounds,enhance support for talent and education cultivation,and establish a sound resilience monito-ring and early warning system.

关键词

世界重要人才中心和创新高地/五大城市群/预警

Key words

Global talent hubs and innovation hotspot/Five major urban agglomerations/Early warning

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基金项目

国家"十三五"科技发展规划前期研究重大课题(2014DP2024)

上海英才计划拔尖人才项目(SYC-021)

中国人才研究会课题(ZRH-2323)

出版年

2024
中国科技论坛
中国科学技术发展战略研究院

中国科技论坛

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
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