首页|演化博弈视角下转基因技术环境风险规制的演化机制

演化博弈视角下转基因技术环境风险规制的演化机制

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转基因技术作为一项革命性的生物技术,虽具备广阔的经济潜力,却引发了广泛的环境安全担忧.有效的环境风险规制体系对于确保技术安全应用至关重要,同时需平衡科技进步和经济发展.本研究通过建立多方演化博弈模型,深入探讨政府、环保组织和企业在转基因环境风险监管中的决策因素和相互作用.研究结果显示,政府的决策参数如严格监管成本和面临的企业经济诉求压力,对三方主体的策略选择产生显著影响;环保组织的决策受到多个参数的影响,包括维权成本、社会支持和政府的严格监管处罚等;而企业预期收益、信息披露、社会负面效应和投机成本等参数会显著影响企业决策;同时,各方主体之间存在着相互制衡的关系,这种相互制衡有助于实现环境安全监管的可持续发展,确保转基因技术的稳定推广并在社会可控的范围内应用.这一研究为制定更有效的政策和策略,以确保转基因技术的环境安全提供了有益的指导,并为国际合作提供借鉴,促进转基因技术国际规范发展.
Evolutionary Mechanisms of Regulatory Frameworks for Genetically Modified Technology Environmental Risk Management:A Perspective from Evolutionary Game Theory
Transgenic technology,as a revolutionary biotechnology with vast economic potential,has triggered widespread concerns a-bout environmental safety.An effective regulatory framework for environmental risk is crucial to ensure the secure application of this technology while balancing technological progress and economic development.This study employs a multi-agent evolutionary game model to delve into the decision factors and interactions among the government,environmental organizations,and businesses in the regulation of environmental risks associated with transgenic technology.The research findings indicate that government decision parameters,such as strict regulatory costs and economic pressures faced by enterprises,significantly impact the strategic choices of the three parties in-volved.Environmental organizations'decisions are influenced by multiple parameters,including litigation costs,social support,and government penalties for strict regulation.Meanwhile,parameters such as anticipated profits,information disclosure,social adverse effects,and speculation costs significantly influence business decisions.Furthermore,there exists a delicate balance among the involved parties,contributing to the sustainable development of environmental safety regulation.This balance ensures the stable promo-tion of transgenic technology and its controlled application in society.The study provides valuable insights for formulating more effective policies and strategies to ensure the environmental safety of transgenic technology.It also offers guidance for international cooperation,promoting the development of international standards for transgenic technology.

Transgenic technologyEnvironmental safetyEconomic developmentRisk regulationEvolutionary game

曾守桢、张侨蕾、张暄、顾佳星

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宁波大学商学院,浙江 宁波 315211

宁波大学法学院,浙江 宁波 315211

台州学院商学院,浙江 台州 318000

转基因技术 环境安全 经济发展 风险监管 演化博弈

国家社科基金重点项目宁波市哲社规划课题

22ATJ003G2023-2-65

2024

中国科技论坛
中国科学技术发展战略研究院

中国科技论坛

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.081
ISSN:1002-6711
年,卷(期):2024.(10)
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