首页|强风和地震联合灾害区划图编制方法

强风和地震联合灾害区划图编制方法

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强风和地震作为工程结构防灾中重要考虑的两种灾害形式,广泛分布于我国各地。现有的基本风压和地震动峰值加速度区划图展示了二者各自发生的概率和强度,忽略了强风和地震耦合作用引起的结构安全问题。为完善工程结构抗多灾设计理论,本文提出了基于真实数据的强风和地震联合灾害区划图编制方法,结合强风和地震灾害特性,优选了数据充足且灾害特征明显的川滇地区为例,搜集了 50年时间跨度的相关数据,对比了各自单灾区划以确定所获取数据的准确性,给出了强风和地震同时发生的判定准则,建立了联合概率模型并计算了危险性概率,利用线性插值拟合获得了川滇地区强风和地震联合灾害区划图。研究表明:强风和地震联合灾害区划图为两种灾害耦合现象的分布提供了有力的数据支撑,证实了该现象全面发生于川滇地区,只是概率存在区别;联合灾害区划编制方法以真实数据概率准确性分析代替了相关因素分析,更具普遍适用性;该区划图兼顾了两种灾害同时发生的概率分布和强度等级,改善了目前大部分强风和地震同时作用的研究中两种灾害强度的选取都是无依据的假设。本文成果为考虑强风和地震耦合作用的研究成果纳入设计标准,以及编制我国更大范围的多灾害区划提供有益参考。
Methodology for the combined strong wind and earthquake hazard map
Strong winds and earthquakes are widely distributed throughout China.The existing zoning maps for winds and earthquakes ignore the structural safety issues caused by their coupled effects.To improve the theory of multi-hazard design for engineering structures,this paper proposes a method of compiling a joint hazard zoning map for strong wind and earthquakes based on real data.The data of strong winds and earthquakes in Sichuan and Yunnan in 50 years are collected,and the accuracy of the data is determined by comparing the respective single-hazard zoning.The criteria for determining the simultaneous occurrence of strong winds and earthquakes are given,the joint probability model is established,the hazard probability is calculated,and the joint hazard zoning map is obtained by linear interpolation and fitting.The study shows that the joint wind and earthquake hazard zoning map provides strong data support for the distribution of the coupled phenomenon of the two hazards;the method of compiling the joint hazard zoning replaces the correlation analysis with the analysis of the probabilistic accuracy of the real data,which is more universal;the zoning map takes into account the distribution of the probability of the two types of hazards occurring at the same time and the intensity level,and improves most of the existing strong wind and earthquake hazard zoning maps.The zoning map considers the probability distribution and intensity level of the two hazards,which enhances the assumption that the intensity of the two hazards is unsupported in most current studies on the simultaneous effects of strong winds and earthquakes.

strong winds and earthquakesmulti-hazard mappingjoint probabilitypeak ground motion accelerationreference wind pressure

郭鑫、李宏男、张皓

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沈阳建筑大学土木工程学院,沈阳 110168

大连理工大学建设工程学部,大连 116024

强风和地震 多灾害区划 联合概率 地震动峰值加速度 基本风压

2024

中国科学(技术科学)
中国科学院

中国科学(技术科学)

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.752
ISSN:1674-7259
年,卷(期):2024.54(12)