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粮油作物中黄曲霉毒素风险预测预警研究进展

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粮油作物中黄曲霉毒素污染严重影响着人和动物的健康.开展粮油作物中黄曲霉毒素产生关键影响因素研究,构建早期风险预测模型,是减少污染发生、保障人类健康和减少经济损失的重要途径.文章在总结黄曲霉毒素在粮油作物中风险发生影响因素的基础上,从黄曲霉毒素易发多发的环节如作物收获期和储藏期讨论了预测模型的研究进展,同时归纳了 目前预测模型主要建立方法,包括基于回归、神经网络等方法建立的数据驱动模型和基于黄曲霉毒素产生机制建立的机理模型.通过分析目前的研究,讨论了未来粮油作物中黄曲霉毒素风险预测模型的研究方向和应用场景,为开展我国作物中黄曲霉毒素污染风险早期预测和污染防控研究提供参考.
Recent Advances in Prediction of the Risk of Aflatoxin in Grain and Oil Crops
Aflatoxin contamination in grain and oil crops can seriously affect human and animal health.The study of key factors affecting the production of aflatoxins in grain and oil crops and the development of early risk prediction models are important ways to reduce aflatoxins,protect human health and reduce economic losses.In this paper,on the basis of summarizing the factors affecting aflatoxin risk occurrence in grain and oil crops,the research progress of aflatoxin prediction model construction from the links prone was discussed to frequent occurrence of aflatoxin,such as crop harvest and storage period,and the main methods of prediction model construction at present were summarized.Data-driven models based on regression and neural networks and mechanism models based on aflatoxin production mechanisms were included.By analyzing the current research,future research directions and application scenarios for aflatoxin risk prediction models for grain and oil crops were discussed,providing a reference for early prediction and pollution prevention and control of aflatoxin risk in Chinese crops.

aflatoxininfluence factorpredictmodel

李森、叶金、李冰杰、张玉芳

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国家粮食和物资储备局科学研究院,北京 100037

南方丘区节水研究四川省重点实验室,成都 610066

北京师范大学,北京 100089

黄曲霉毒素 产生因素 预测 模型

国家重点研发计划项目全国粮食和物资储备青年拔尖人才项目

2022YFF1101105-05QN 2022202

2024

中国粮油学报
中国粮油学会

中国粮油学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.056
ISSN:1003-0174
年,卷(期):2024.39(2)
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