首页|基于决策树模型的脑梗死患者疾病诊断相关分组研究

基于决策树模型的脑梗死患者疾病诊断相关分组研究

扫码查看
目的 探讨脑梗死患者疾病诊断相关分组(DRGs)病例组合方案,为相关部门制定脑梗死患者住院费用支付标准提供参考.方法 数据来源于甘肃省卫生健康委员会卫生信息统计中心的网络直报数据,选取2016年1月1日-2020年12月31日在甘肃省兰州市三级公立医院诊治的35 039例脑梗死患者为研究对象,收集其病案首页相关数据.采用SPSS 26.0、Stata 17.0软件进行Mann-Whitney U检验和Kruskal-Wallis H检验;采用多元线性回归和分位数回归分析住院费用影响因素;运用基于卡方自动交互检测算法(CHAID法)的决策树模型构建DRGs病例组合并制定各组费用标准.结果 35 039例脑梗死患者平均住院费用为14 019.62元,住院费用中位数为9 649.21元.多元线性回归分析结果显示,少数民族(β=0.046)、医疗付款方式(以城镇职工基本医疗保险为参照,新型农村合作医疗β=0.080,其他β=0.068)、住院天数长(β=0.445)与住院费用呈正相关(P<0.01);女性(β=-0.047)、高龄(β=-0.038)、医疗付款方式(以城镇职工基本医疗保险为参照,城镇居民基本医疗保险β=-0.050)、入院途径(以急诊为参照,门诊β=-0.275,其他β=-0.040)、无合并症或并发症(β=-0.024)、未手术(β=-0.208)与住院费用呈负相关(P<0.01).分位数回归分析结果显示,少数民族、住院天数长在住院费用3个分位点(Q10、Q50、Q90)上均存在正向影响(P<0.01);女性、入院途径、未手术在住院费用3个分位点上均存在负向影响(P<0.01).以住院天数、是否手术、入院途径、医疗付款方式为分类节点,构建了 22个病例组合,其中DRGs19(未手术,住院天数8~14d,医疗付款方式为城镇职工基本医疗保险)的患者最多(9486例),DRGs1(进行手术治疗,住院天数22~30 d,医疗付款方式为城镇居民基本医疗保险或新型农村合作医疗或其他)的患者平均住院费用最高(97 360.13元).住院费用超限病例2 030例,占比5.79%,共消耗23.18%的医疗资源.结论 采用决策树模型构建的脑梗死患者住院费用分组科学合理,该分组方案和费用标准可为控制脑梗死患者住院医疗费用提供一定的参考依据.
Study on the diagnosis related groups of cerebral infarction patients based on decision tree model
Objective To explore the case combination scheme of patients with cerebral infarction on diagnosis related groups(DRGs),and provide the reference for relevant departments to formulate the payment standard of cerebral infarction hospitalization expenses.Methods The data were from the network direct report data of the Health Information Statistics Center of Gansu Provincial Health Commission,and 35 039 cerebral infarction patients treated in tertiary public hospitals in Lanzhou,Gansu Province from January 1,2016 to December 31,2020 were selected as the subjects.The first-page medical records data were collected.Mann-Whitney U test and Kruskal-Wallis H test were used to analyze the data.Multiple linear regression and quantile regression were used to analyze the influencing factors of hospitalization expenses;the decision tree model based on the chi-square automatic interaction detection algorithm(CHAID method)was used to construct the case combination of DRGs and formulate the cost standard of each group.The used software was SPSS 26.0 and Stata 17.0.Results The average hospitalization expense of 35 039 patients with cerebral infarction was 14 019.62 yuan,and the median of hospitalization expenses was 9 649.21 yuan.Multiple linear regression analysis showed that ethnic minorities(β=0.046),medical payment method(the basic medical insurance system for urban working people served as reference,new rural cooperative medical insurance system β=0.080,others β=0.068),long hospitalization days(β=0.445)were positively correlated with hospitalization costs(P<0.01).Female(β=-0.047),higher age(β=-0.038),medical payment method(the basic medical insurance system for urban working people served as reference,basic medical insurance system for urban residents β=-0.050),admission route(the emergency department served as reference,outpatientβ=-0.275,othersβ=-0.040),without complication(β=-0.024)and no operation(β=-0.208)were negatively correlated with hospitalization costs(P<0.01).Quantile regression analysis showed that ethnic minorities and long hospitalization days were positively correlated with hospitalization costs at the three subsites(Q10,Q50 and Q90),P<0.01.Female,admission route and no operation were negatively correlated with the hospitalization cost(P<0.01).Twenty-two case combinations were constructed based on hospitalization days,surgical operation,admission route and medical payment method.Among them,the number of patients with DRGs19(no surgical operation,hospitalization days of 8-14 days,payment method of basic medical insurance system for urban working people)was the largest(9 486 cases).The average hospitalization cost of patients with DRGsl(surgical operation,hospitalization days of 22 to 30 days,payment method of basic medical insurance system for urban residents,new rural cooperative medical system or other)was the highest(97 360.13 yuan).There were 2 030 cases(5.79%)of excessive hospitalization expenses,and a total of 23.18%of medical resources was consumed.Conclusion The subgroups of hospitalization cost constructed by decision tree model is scientific and reasonable,the grouping scheme and cost standard can provide some reference for controlling the hospitalization expenses of patients with cerebral infarction.

Cerebral infarctionDiagnosis related groupsHospitalization expenseDecision treeInfluencing factors

张生雯、杨少伦、陈永聪

展开 >

兰州大学公共卫生学院,甘肃省兰州 730000

脑梗死 疾病诊断相关分组 住院费用 决策树 影响因素

2021年甘肃省卫生健康行业科研管理项目

GSWSKY2021-063

2024

中国慢性病预防与控制
中华预防医学会,天津市疾病预防控制中心

中国慢性病预防与控制

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.093
ISSN:1004-6194
年,卷(期):2024.32(7)
  • 19