首页|2012-2023年重庆市60岁及以上老年人伤害死亡疾病负担变化

2012-2023年重庆市60岁及以上老年人伤害死亡疾病负担变化

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目的 分析重庆市60岁及以上老年人伤害死亡率与死亡疾病负担变化趋势,为开展老年人伤害干预提供建议.方法 利用2012-2023年死因监测数据中根本死因为伤害的死亡个案,采用SPSS 26.0计算死亡率、标化死亡率、早死导致寿命损失年(YLL)率、平均寿命损失年(AYLL)及不同死因构成比,死亡率的比较采用x2检验,率的趋势变化采用年度变化百分比(APC)和平均年度变化百分比(AAPC)表示.结果 2012年重庆市60岁及以上老年人伤害死亡率与标化死亡率分别为106.55/10万、108.28/10万,2023年伤害死亡率与标化死亡率分别为104.76/10万、93.14/10万,AAPC分别为-0.70%与-1.49%,变化趋势均无统计学意义(P>0.05).2012-2016年伤害死亡率以年均5.18%上升,2016-2023年以年均3.25%下降,变化趋势均有统计学意义(P<0.05,P<0.01);2012-2017年标化死亡率以年均4.09%上升,2017-2023年以年均5.64%下降,变化趋势均有统计学意义(P<0.05,P<0.01).历年老年男性死亡率均高于老年女性,差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05).除2015年、2018年与2019年外,其他年份老年人伤害死亡率均是农村地区高于城市,差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05).老年人伤害死亡率随年龄的增长而上升,60~64、65~69、70~74岁年龄组伤害死亡率分别以年均5.92%、2.57%、2.27%下降,趋势均有统计学意义(P<0.05,P<0.01).伤害导致的重庆市老年人YLL率由2012年的19.05‰下降至2023年的16.28‰,AAPC为-1.73%,变化趋势有统计学意义(P<0.05).AYLL由2012年的17.88年下降至2023年的15.54年,AAPC为-1.37%,变化趋势有统计学意义(P<0.01).重庆市60岁及以上老年人前3位伤害死亡分别是跌倒、交通事故、自杀.跌倒导致的死亡占比由2012年的28.85%上升至2023年的50.55%,交通事故导致的死亡构成比由2012年的23.53%下降到2023年的15.42%,自杀导致的死亡占比由2012年的15.34%下降到2023年的12.34%,趋势均有统计学意义(AAPC分别为5.98%、-4.67%和-2.85%,P<0.01).结论 重庆市60岁及以上老年人伤害死亡率较高,男性、农村地区和高龄老年人是伤害防控的重点.
Changes in the disease burden of injury death among elderly(≥60 years old)in Chongqing from 2012 to 2023
Objective To analyze the change trend in the disease burden of injury death among elderly(≥60 years old)in Chongqing from 2012 to 2023,and provide the suggestion for conducting the injury prevention among the elderly.Methods Cases of death simply because of injury served as death case according to cause of death surveillance data from 2012 to 2023.The mortality,standardized mortality rate(SMR),years of life lost(YLL),average years of life lost(AYLL)and the composition ratio of different causes of death were calculated.The x2 test was used to compare the mortality,the annual percentage change(APC)and average annual percentage change(AAPC)were used to indicate the change trend of rates.The used software was SPSS 26.0.Results The mortality and SMR of injury among elderly(≥60 years old)in Chongqing in 2012 were 106.55/105 and 108.28/105,respectively;the mortality and SMR of injury among elderly(≥ 60 years old)in Chongqing in 2023 were 104.76/105 and 93.14/105,respectively.AAPC values were-0.70%and-1.49%,respectively(P>0.05).From 2012 to 2016,the injury mortality rate increased by 5.18%annually;from 2016 to 2023,the injury mortality rate decreased by 3.25%annually;there were significant difference for the injury mortality rate(P<0.05).From 2012 to 2017,the SMR increased by 4.09%annually;from 2017 to 2023,the SMR decreased by 5.64%annually;there were significant difference for SMR(P<0.05).The mortality rate of male elderly was significantly higher than that of female elderly over the years(P<0.05).Apart from 2015,2018 and 2019,the injury mortality rates on elderly in rural area were significantly higher that those in urban area from 2012 to 2023(P<0.05).Injury mortality in elderly increased with age,but in 60-64,65-69 and 70-74 age group,the injury mortality rate decreased by 5.92%,2.57%and 2.27%annually,respectively;there were significant difference for death trend(P<0.05).The YLL rate of the elderly due to injury in Chongqing decreased from 19.05‰ in 2012 to 16.28‰ in 2023,and the AAPC was-1.73%,with a statistically significant trend(P<0.05).The AYLL rate of the elderly due to injury in Chongqing decreased from 17.88 years in 2012 to 15.54 years in 2023,and the AAPC was-1.37%,with a statistically significant trend(P<0.05).The first three injury deaths among the elderly(≥60 years old)in Chongqing were falls,traffic accidents and suicide.The proportion of deaths due to falls increased from 28.85%in 2012 to 50.55%in 2023,the proportion of deaths due to traffic accidents decreased from 23.53%in 2012 to 15.42%in 2023,and the proportion of deaths due to suicide decreased from 15.34%in 2012 to 12.34%in 2023,with statistical trends(AAPC values were 5.98%,-4.67%and-2.85%,respectively,P<0.01).Conclusion Injury mortality among elderly(≥60 years old)in Chongqing is high.Male,rural areas and the elderly are the focus of injury prevention and control.

ElderlyInjuryMortalityYears of life lostAverage years of life lost

丁贤彬、杨弦弦、焦艳、丁睿、刘萱竹、陈婷、吕晓燕

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重庆市疾病预防控制中心慢性病预防控制所,重庆 400707

重庆医科大学第一临床医学院

重庆医科大学国际医学院

老年人 伤害 死亡率 早死导致寿命损失年 平均寿命损失年

2024

中国慢性病预防与控制
中华预防医学会,天津市疾病预防控制中心

中国慢性病预防与控制

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.093
ISSN:1004-6194
年,卷(期):2024.32(12)