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武威市霜冻变化特征及其对农作物的影响

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为增强气象为农服务能力,减少霜冻造成的损失,笔者以1961—2015 年武威市各县(区)霜冻和农作物生育及产量资料为基础,分析了霜冻特征及灾害发生的概率和影响.结果表明:(1)55 年来武威市各县(区)初霜日推迟17~23 天,终霜日提前20~29 天,无霜期延长天数达39~48 天;变异系数:无霜期>终霜日>初霜日;(2)终霜日60 年代到90 年代多为正距平,21 世纪以来多为负距平;而初霜日和无霜期60 年代到90 年代多为负距平,21 世纪以来为正距平;60、70 年代距平变幅较大;(3)从霜冻出现时平均地面最低气温看,发生重霜冻害概率民勤9%,凉州2%;发生中霜冻害概率民勤7%,凉州7%,古浪 2%;而发生轻霜冻害概率民勤84%,凉州91%,古浪98%;(4)霜冻对喜温作物春玉米的影响明显大于春小麦,且春玉米三叶—七叶期是霜冻危害最敏感的时期,初霜日越早、无霜期越短,春小麦、春玉米和粮食作物易受早霜冻害影响产量;而终霜日越晚,农作物遭受晚霜冻害风险提高.
Frost: Variation Characteristics and Its Influence on Crops in Wuwei
To enhance meteorological service for agriculture and reduce the loss caused by frost, the authors analyzed the characteristic of frost and the probability and impact of frost disasters based on data of frost and growth and yield of crop from 1961 to 2015 in counties (districts) of Wuwei. The results showed that: (1) the first frost date was 17-23 days delayed in Wuwei in recent 55 years, the last frost date was 20-29 days advanced and the frost-free period was prolonged for 39-48 days; the variation coefficient was: frost-free period>last frost date>first frost date; (2) the last frost date was mostly positive anomaly from 1960s to 1990s, while was most negative anomaly in the 21st century; the first frost date and frost-free period were mostly negative anomaly from 1960s to 1990s, and were mostly positive anomaly in the 21st century; the anomaly amplitude was bigger in 1960s and 1970s; (3) concerning the average ground lowest temperature when frost appeared, the probability of serious frost damage was 9% and 2% at Minqin and Liangzhou, respectively; the probability of middle frost damage was 7%, 7% and 2% at Minqin, Liangzhou and Gulang, respectively; the probability of light frost damage was 84%, 91% and 98% at Minqin, Liangzhou and Gulang, respectively; (4) the influence of frost on warm-prefer spring corn was significantly greater than that on spring wheat, and the most sensitive period of spring corn to frost damage was 3-7 leaves stage; when the first frost was earlier, the frost-free period was shorter, spring wheat, spring corn and grain crops were easily harmed by early frost and the influence on yield was obvious; but when the last frost date was later, the crops' probability of suffering late frost hazard risk was increased.

Wuweifrostcropeffect

蒋菊芳、王鹤龄、刘明春、魏育国、杨梅

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中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所/甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室/中国气象局干旱气候变化与减灾开放实验室,兰州 730020

甘肃省武威市气象局,甘肃 武威 733000

武威市 霜冻 农作物 影响

公益性行业(气象)科研专项(重大专项)甘肃省气象局科研面上项目干旱基金

GYHY201506001-2GSMAMs2016-13IAM201507

2017

中国农学通报
中国农学会

中国农学通报

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.891
ISSN:1000-6850
年,卷(期):2017.33(31)
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