Correlation Analysis of Early Flowering Period and Meteorological Factors of Daylily and Forecast Model in Yanchi County
Based on the observation data of the growth period of daylily in Yanchi County from 2012 to 2021,and the ground meteorological observation data of the national basic meteorological station in Yanchi County during the same period,the correlation between the beginning of flowering period of daylily and meteorological factors was analyzed.The results showed that there was a high correlation between the beginning of flowering of daylily and the sunshine duration from early April to mid-June and the accumulated temperature of 1l℃.By using stepwise regression analysis,a multiple regression prediction model was established for the flowering period of daylily from 2012 to 2021,with a high degree of fitting.The beginning flowering time of daylily in 2022-2023 was predicted,and the actual value was different only by 1-2 days.The results show that the forecast model can accurately predict the beginning of flowering time of daylily,meets the business service requirements of characteristic industries,plays a positive role in promoting county-level tourism and local economic development.
daylilythe beginning of floweringmeteorological factorscorrelation analysisprediction model
万方数据
维普
