首页|中国畜牧养殖资源环境压力:时空分异特征及其与畜牧产出水平的耦合协调关系

中国畜牧养殖资源环境压力:时空分异特征及其与畜牧产出水平的耦合协调关系

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为准确测算中国畜牧养殖资源环境压力,并揭示其时空分异特征及其与畜牧产出水平的关系,采用空间自相关和耦合协调模型从时空角度揭示其演变特征、空间自相关性及其与畜牧产出水平的耦合协调关系.结果表明:1)我国畜牧养殖资源环境压力呈波动增长态势,多数省份处于承压状态,畜产品主产区中冀吉鲁豫湘等处于高压力,黑皖鄂处于中等压力;2)畜牧养殖资源环境压力的空间集聚特征逐渐增强,主产区中冀辽豫鄂湘地区为高-高集聚,蒙黑川地区为低-高集聚,皖鲁地区为高-低集聚;3)畜牧养殖资源环境压力与畜牧产出水平间的耦合度呈增长趋势,多数地区的耦合度均提升,但冀鲁豫地区的耦合度出现下降,且大多数地区的耦合协调度长期处于一般协调阶段.因此,加强畜牧养殖水土草粮等资源管理以提高资源利用效率,推广应用畜牧养殖废弃物资源化利用和降碳技术将有助于促进资源环境约束条件下畜牧业生产的稳定可持续发展.
Resource and environmental pressure on animal husbandry in China:Characteristics of spatio-temporal differentiation and its coupling coordination relationship with livestock output
In order to accurately quantify the resource and environmental pressure of animal husbandry in China,and reveal its spatio-temporal differentiation characteristics as well as its relationship with the output level of animal husbandry,this study adopts spatial autocorrelation and coupling coordination models to clarify the evolution characteristics of the spatial autocorrelation and the coupling coordination relationship with animal husbandry output level from the perspective of time and space.The findings show that:1)The resource and environmental pressure on animal husbandry in China exhibits a fluctuating growth trend,with the majority of provinces experiencing pressure.Regions such as Hebei,Jilin,Shandong,Henan,and Hunan face high pressure,whereas Heilongjiang,Anhui,and Hubei experience moderate pressure in 2022.2)The spatial agglomeration characteristics of resource and environmental pressure on animal husbandry are gradually strengthening.High-high agglomeration is observed in key production areas such as Hebei,Liaoning,Henan,Hubei,and Hunan,while low-high agglomeration is present in regions such as Inner Mongolia,Heilongjiang,and Sichuan.Additionally,Anhui and Shandong exhibit high-low agglomeration.3)The coupling degree between resource and environmental pressure on animal husbandry and the output level of livestock industry is on the rise,with most areas experiencing an increase in coupling degree.However,Hebei,Shandong and Henan show a decreasing coupling degree.Furthermore,the coupling coordination degree in most areas remains at a generally coordinated stage in the long term.Based on the above findings,it is recommended to strengthen the management of water,soil,grass and grain resources in animal husbandry to enhance resource utilization efficiency.Facilitating the recycling and utilization of animal husbandry waste resources and promoting the application of carbon reduction technologies will foster the stable and sustainable development of animal husbandry in harmony with the resource environment.

animal husbandryresource and environmental pressurespatial-temporal evolution analysisoutput levelspatial autocorrelationcoupling coordination relationship

张俊华、肖海峰

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中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京 100083

河南省社会科学院农村发展研究所,郑州 451464

畜牧业 资源环境压力 时空演变分析 产出水平 空间自相关 耦合协调关系

2025

中国农业大学学报
中国农业大学

中国农业大学学报

北大核心
影响因子:0.971
ISSN:1009-508X
年,卷(期):2025.30(1)