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外部冲击对中国粮食安全的影响及对策

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保障粮食和农产品稳定安全供给是建设农业强国的头等大事。世界环境复杂多变,金融危机、中美贸易战以及全球新冠疫情等外部环境影响中国粮食安全。本研究将3次外部冲击分别定义为经济波动、对外关系与自然灾害,比较分析了3次外部冲击对中国粮食安全的影响,短期来看,外部冲击一定程度上对中国粮价和粮食贸易造成波动,但长期来看影响有限。在应对措施方面,通过国内宏观经济的调控、支农补贴政策、多边谈判、关税政策、全国范围内的统筹协调、粮食结构调整、逐步完善的预警机制以及不断提高的农业配送条件,保障了中国粮食市场的均衡。为应对外部环境变化确保中国粮食长久安全,应优化粮食供给结构,提高应对外部突发事件的能力,维护稳定经贸关系,逐步开拓新兴市场。
External Impact on Chinese Food Security and Countermeasures
Ensuring the stable and safe supply of food and agricultural products is the top priority in building a strong agricultural country.The world environment is complex and changeable,the financial crisis,China-US trade war and the global COVID-19 pandemic affect Chinese food security.The article defined three external shocks as economic fluctuations,external relations and natural disasters,and compared and analyzed the impact of these three external shocks on Chinese food security.In the short term,they cause the fluctuation of food price and trade to some extent,but in the long term,the impact is limited.In terms of response measures,through domestic macro-economic regulation,agricultural subsidy policies,multilateral negotiations,tariff policies,overall coordination at the national level,the adjustment of grain structure,the gradual improvement of early warning mechanism and the continuous improvement of agricultural distribution conditions,the equilibrium of grain market was ensured.In order to ensure Chinese food security,we should optimize the grain supply structure,improve the ability to deal with external emergencies,maintain stable economic and trade relations,and gradually open up new food markets.

agricultural economyexternal shocksfinancial crisisChina-US trade warCOVID-19 pandemicfood security

魏勇军、邓志英、黄毅

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湖南化工职业技术学院 湖南株洲 412000

长沙民政职业技术学院商学院 湖南 长沙 410004

农业经济 外部冲击 金融危机 中美贸易战 新冠疫情 粮食安全

湖南省社会科学成果评审委员会项目(2023)

XSP2023GLC141

2024

农业展望
中国农业科学院农业信息研究所

农业展望

影响因子:0.713
ISSN:1673-3908
年,卷(期):2024.20(3)
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