首页|农产品贸易与服务业耦合协调度分布动态与时空差异研究

农产品贸易与服务业耦合协调度分布动态与时空差异研究

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农产品贸易与服务业的耦合发展是优化产业结构的客观要求,也是实现农业现代化的重要途径.基于2005-2020 年中国 31 个省份(未包括港澳台地区)面板数据,运用耦合协调度模型、Dagum基尼系数、核密度函数与莫兰指数考察农产品贸易与服务业的耦合协调关系.研究发现:农产品贸易与服务业耦合协调度呈上升态势,但目前整体处于低水平耦合阶段,地区间耦合协调度从大到小依次为东部、东北部、中部和西部;农产品贸易和服务业耦合协调度总体空间差异呈扩大趋势,空间差异主要由区域间差异所引致;中国农产品贸易与服务业耦合协调度均丰在明显的空间集聚现象,大多数省份处于高—高集聚和低—低集聚.基于此,从完善农村基础设施建设、制定政策帮扶和优化调整产业结构以及整合区域资源等方面提出了推动农产品贸易与服务业高度耦合协调实现的政策建议.
Distribution Dynamics and Time-space Difference of the Coupling Coordination Degree between Agricultural Products Trade and Service Industry
The coupling development of agricultural product trade and service industry is the objective requirement of optimizing industrial structure and an important way to realize agricultural modernization.Based on the panel data of 31 provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions)(Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan are not included)in China from 2005 to 2020,the coupling coordination relationship between agricultural products trade and service industry was investigated by using the coupling coordination degree model,Dagum Gini coefficient,nuclear density function and Moran index.The results showed that the degree of coupling and coordination between agricultural products trade and service industry is on the rise,but the whole is in the low-level coupling stage,and the coupling and coordination among regions are in the east,northeast,central and western regions from large to small;the overall spatial difference of the coupling coordination degree of agricultural products trade and service industry is expanding,and the spatial difference is dominated by the regional difference;the coupling and coordination degree of agricultural produc ts trade and service industry in China are obvious spatial agglomeration,and most provinces are mainly high-high agglomeration and low-low agglomeration.Based on this,some policy suggestions were put forward from improving rural infrastructure construction,formulating policy assistance,optimizing and adjusting industrial structure,and integrating regional resources,so as to promote the realization of high coupling and coordination between agricultural products trade and service industry.

agricultural products tradeservice industrycoupling coordinationDagum Gini coefficientMoran indextime-space difference

牛磊、刘建军、杨华平

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长江大学经济与管理学院 湖北 荆州 434023

湖北咸宁赤壁市第一中学 湖北 咸宁 437399

农产品贸易 服务业 耦合协调 Dagum基尼系数 莫兰指数 时空差异

2024

农业展望
中国农业科学院农业信息研究所

农业展望

影响因子:0.713
ISSN:1673-3908
年,卷(期):2024.20(5)