首页|基于肉牛产业数据的价格指数研究与系统开发——以科尔沁右翼中旗肉牛交易数据为例

基于肉牛产业数据的价格指数研究与系统开发——以科尔沁右翼中旗肉牛交易数据为例

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肉牛产业作为内蒙古科尔沁右翼中旗支柱产业之一,已成为当地发展的优先选项和富民增收的主要突破口,目前该产业存在着规模小、群体大,需要依托农户养殖来支撑的问题,总体来看,肉牛产业发展不是特别成熟,在全国市场价格话语权不高。为了进一步提升其品牌影响力和肉牛价格话语权以及增强政府调控的前瞻性、针对性和有效性,本研究依托科尔沁右翼中旗肉牛产业实际情况,借鉴国内外产业指数的编制方法,从模型建设、指标编制、算法构建、系统研发等方面详细介绍了"科尔沁右翼中旗肉牛价格指数"的编制与系统开发过程,以期通过价格指数的持续发布,能够为全国肉牛产业提供客观、科学、量化的市场价值基准。试运营效果表明,指数结果可以有效反映科尔沁右翼中旗肉牛市场冷热趋势,一定程度上提升了生产经营主体在价格形成中的参与权、表达权和主动权,可以为肉牛价格保险、收入保险以及期货期权等金融衍生产品的发展提供基础数据支持。
Price Index Research and System Development Based on Beef Cattle Industry Data—Taking Horqin Right Wing Middle Banner's Beef Cattle Trading Data as an Example
The beef cattle industry as one of the pillar industries of Horqin Right Wing Middle Banner of Inner Mongolia has become the preferred option for local development and the main breakthrough for increasing people's income.At present,the industry has small scale and large group,which needs to rely on farmers'breeding to support.In general,the development of beef cattle industry is not mature,and the price discourse power in the national market is low.Therefore,in order to further improve its brand influence and beef cattle price discourse power,as well as enhance the forward-looking,targeted and effectiveness of government regulation,relying on the actual situation of the beef cattle industry in Horqin Right Wing Middle Banner and drawing on the compilation methods of price indexes at home and abroad,this study introduced the compilation and system development process of the"Horqin Right Wing Middle Banner Beef Cattle Price Index"in detail from the aspects of model construction,index compilation,algorithm construction,system research and development,etc.,so as to provide an objective,scientific and quantitative market value benchmark for the national beef cattle industry through the continuous release of the price index.The trial operation effect showed that the index results can effectively reflect the hot and cold trend of the beef cattle market in Horqin Right Wing Middle Banner,and to some extent improve the participation,expression and initiative of the production and operation subjects in the formation of the price,and it can provide basic data support for the development of beef cattle price insurance,income insurance,futures options and other financial derivatives.

beef cattle industryprice indexindex compilationdevelopment and applicationsystem development

宋正阳、徐磊

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中国农业科学院农业信息研究所 北京 100081

肉牛产业 价格指数 指数编制 发展应用 系统开发

2024

农业展望
中国农业科学院农业信息研究所

农业展望

影响因子:0.713
ISSN:1673-3908
年,卷(期):2024.20(8)