STUDY ON THE CHANGING TREND AND INFLUENCING FACTORS OF LARGE-SCALE BEEF CATTLE BREEDING IN CHINA——EMPIRICALANALYSIS BASED ON PANL QUANTILE REGRESSION
The purpose of this study is to explore the changing trend and influencing factors of large-scale beef cattle breeding in China,and provide policy basis for promoting large-scale beef cattle breeding and improving beef production capacity to ensure basic supply.Based on the panel data of 16 major beef cattle producing provinces in my country from 2007 to 2020,this paper firstly analyzed the changing trend and inter-provincial differences of beef cattle large-scale breeding,and then used the fixed-effect panel quantile regression model to empirically test the influencing factors of beef cattle large-scale breeding.The results were indicated as follows.The scale level of beef cattle in Northeast China was relatively high,and the level in Southwest China was the lowest.The higher the feed production capacity,fixed asset capacity,mechanization level,urbanization rate and wage income level in the province,the greater the beef consumption potential,policy support and the intensity of environmental regulation,and the higher the scale of beef cattle breeding.Improving forage production capacity was more obvious to promote large-scale beef cattle breeding in southwestern regions such as Guangxi,Guizhou,Yunnan,and Sichuan,and improving feed production capacity and beef market consumption potential was more important for promoting large-scale beef cattle breeding in northern regions such as Liaoning,Jilin,and Heilongjiang.Small and medium-scale beef cattle breeding was more affected by resource endowment,and medium and large-scale beef cattle breeding was more affected by the level of investment in fixed assets and policy support.Therefore,the development of large-scale beef cattle breeding needs to fully consider the differences in regions and scales,and starts from the aspects of stabilizing the basic guarantee of forage grass,improving beef cattle support policies and environmental regulation policies,strengthening the construction of talent teams,improving the level of breeding technology,and optimizing the layout of aquaculture scale,so as to promote the large-scale beef cattle.