ANALYSIS ON THE CAUSES OF COTTON PRODUCTION AGGLOMERATION BASED ON REGIONAL COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
Under the new economic pattern,China's cotton production faces three major challenges:tightening resource and environmental constraints,declining cotton planting profits for farmers,and intensifying uncertainty and risks in the cotton industrial chain and supply chain.Promoting agricultural industry agglomeration is an important way to achieve efficient utilization of local natural resources and improve the quality and efficiency of agricultural production.In order to achieve high-quality development of cotton production,it is of great theoretical and practical significance to systematically analyze the causes of cotton production agglomeration based on regional comparative advantages.This paper used the concentration ratio index and the location entropy index to analyze the geographical agglomeration characteristics and the evolution of regional comparative advantage as reflected in cotton production agglomeration since 1949.Based on provincial level data from 2001 to 2021,it used the spatial econometric model to explore the impact of technological progress,socio-economic environment and industrial policies on cotton production agglomeration.The results showed that(1)The degree of mechanization,irrigation level,yield per unit area,market demand,and the target price subsidy policy have a significant positive direct effect on the regional concentration of cotton production,confirming the hypothesis.In contrast,the negative direct impact of transportation conditions is significant and contrary to the hypothesis.(2)In terms of indirect effects,except for the mechanization rate,which has a negative spatial spillover effect,the spatial spillover effects of other factors are not significant,which does not align with the hypothesis.(3)From the perspective of total effects,the irrigation level,yield per unit area,temporary storage policy,target price subsidy,and high-quality seed subsidy all have a significant impact on the concentration of cotton production,confirming the hypothesis.The conclusions are as follows:(1)Technological progress,cotton yarn output,and industrial policies are the main factors affecting the concentration of cotton production.(2)The comparative advantage of cotton production and its concentration are the result of the combined effects of technological progress,market demand,and policy guidance.(3)It is necessary to rely on technological innovation,develop the downstream industry chain,optimize industrial policies to promote moderate scale concentration and rational layout of cotton production,and drive the sustainable and high-quality development of the cotton industry.
comparative advantagecotton productionagglomerationinfluencing factorsspatial econometric analysishigh-quality development
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
