WHY IS THE DEFICIT GETTING BIGGER AND BIGGER:CHINA'S INTERNATIONAL TRADE STRUCTURE OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS,INVERIT LOGIC AND GAME BREAKING
The current international agricultural trade enteres a new stage of development,agricultural international trade rising steadily,agricultural opening to the outside world is the global leading ranks,international agricultural market increasingly becomes an important part of the stable supply of domestic agricultural products,but also for the maintenance of national agricultural security brings a series of unprecedented unconventional pressure and challenges. Based on China's agricultural international trade data from 2000 to 2022,this research comprehensively compared and analyzed the development and changes of China's agricultural international trade from the perspective of the continuous expansion of China's agricultural international trade deficit. The results were listed as follows. (1) China's agricultural international trade deficit reached the highest level in history. Due to the widening of domestic demand gap and the gradual disappearance of comparative advantage,the deficit couldnot be alleviated in the medium and long term. Regionally,the deficit level presented the state of South America>North America>Oceania>Europe (Africa basically achieved trade balance),trade deficit mainly came from Brazil,the United States,Australia,New Zealand,Canada,Thailand and Argentina countries;(2)Trade products,soybeans,animal products,cotton and grain became the main source of deficit products. And the causes of this high deficit included an immature internal technological system and a lack of core competitiveness of export products. (3) There were insufficient endogenous production capacity and significant gaps in some products,and for weak international organizations,agricultural international discourse power was weak. (4) The high openness of agricultural product markets and insufficient protective measures led to situations where agricultural products were difficult to export,forced to enter,difficult to compete,difficult to allocate,and difficult to resist,as well as intense external competition and market capacity compression. (5) Specific barriers were high,and exports faced the dilemma of being surrounded and unable to resist. Therefore,under the background of a new round of higher-level opening-up,it is urgent to transform the thinking and build a diversified strategic guarantee system for agricultural products security. And it should strengthen the technical support from the demand side to steadily improve the domestic supply capacity,and improve the trade rules to protect the domestic market. Additionly,from the supply side to subdivide the export market,it should expand export of superior agricultural products,and develop diversified export projects to avoid international barriers,so as to effectively reduce the deficit and promote the high-quality development of China's international agricultural trade.
international trade of agricultural productstrade deficitWTOagricultural modernizationhigh quality development
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
