Regional Mobility and Marital Choice:A Study on the Impact of Geographical Intermarriage Circle on the Fertility Intention of Migrant Youth
Based on the data of China Migrants Dynamic Survey(CMDS),this study examines the characteristics of geographi-cal intermarriage circle of migrant youth and its impact on fertility intentions,conducts mechanism analysis from the perspective of social integration,and provides reference for the adjustment and improvement of fertility policies.The research output shows that,with the alternation of generations,the geographical intermarriage circle of migrant youth is expanding,and its expansion has a significant negative impact on their fertility intention.After the adoption of propensity score matching method and instru-mental variable method to address sample selection bias and endogenous issues,the results remain robust.Heterogeneity analysis shows that the geographical intermarriage circle has more impact on the fertility intention of rural-urban,male or Generation Z migrant youth.From the perspective of the influence mechanism,social integration is an important mechanism of the geographi-cal intermarriage circle to influence the fertility intention of migrant youth.Among them,economic integration plays masking effect,while relational integration,cultural integration,and psychological integration play mediating effect.