中国全科医学2024,Vol.27Issue(19) :2382-2387.DOI:10.12114/j.issn.1007-9572.2023.0258

健康老龄化背景下我国城乡居民基本养老保险空间分布及影响因素研究

Study on the Spatial Distribution and Influencing Factors of Basic Endowment Insurance for Uban and Rural Residents in China Under the Background of Healthy Aging

陈俊利 王璐 任建学 井淇 盛红旗 高倩倩 蔡伟芹 马安宁
中国全科医学2024,Vol.27Issue(19) :2382-2387.DOI:10.12114/j.issn.1007-9572.2023.0258

健康老龄化背景下我国城乡居民基本养老保险空间分布及影响因素研究

Study on the Spatial Distribution and Influencing Factors of Basic Endowment Insurance for Uban and Rural Residents in China Under the Background of Healthy Aging

陈俊利 1王璐 2任建学 2井淇 3盛红旗 4高倩倩 3蔡伟芹 3马安宁5
扫码查看

作者信息

  • 1. 261053 山东省潍坊市,潍坊医学院公共卫生学院
  • 2. 261053 山东省潍坊市,潍坊医学院管理学院
  • 3. 261053 山东省潍坊市,潍坊医学院管理学院;261053 山东省潍坊市,"健康山东"重大社会风险预测与治理协同创新中心
  • 4. 261053 山东省潍坊市,"健康山东"重大社会风险预测与治理协同创新中心;261053 山东省潍坊市,潍坊市人力资源和社会保障局
  • 5. 261053 山东省潍坊市,潍坊医学院公共卫生学院;261053 山东省潍坊市,"健康山东"重大社会风险预测与治理协同创新中心
  • 折叠

摘要

背景 《"十四五"健康老龄化规划》提出促进实现健康老龄化,这不仅是要老年人健康,更要关注养老保障.随着老龄化社会程度的不断加深,各省份现行的城乡居民养老保险(以下简称城乡居保)制度的参保水平等差距明显.在此背景下对养老保险制度进行研究具有重要意义.目的 通过描述 2013-2020 年 31 省份城乡居保参保水平的空间分布现状,观察我国参保水平的空间相关性和差异性,分析相关影响因素,为政府和医疗卫生行政部门制定养老保险政策提供建议.方法 本研究数据来源于 2014-2021 年《中国统计年鉴》,城乡居保的参保水平根据公共管理、社会保障和社会组织模块中的分地区"城乡居民基本养老保险参保人数"与人口模块中分地区"年末人口数"之比计算得出.影响因素的各个指标均来自 2014-2021 年《中国统计年鉴》.运用ArcGIS 10.8 统计分析软件,将整理的 31 个省份的城乡居保参保水平与中国省级行政区划进行匹配,对 31 个省份之间的城乡居保参保水平的差异进行描述性分析,利用全局空间自相关和Getis-Ord Gi*局部热点等方法,研究参保水平的空间相关性和冷热点,结合地理探测器研究相关影响因素.结果 从全国总体来看,2013-2020 年,我国城乡居保参保人数和参保水平都是逐年上升的;从纵向结构上看,各省份的参保水平差异很大;从横向结构上看,2013-2020年,大部分省份的增长率都为正值.我国 2013-2020 年 31 省城乡居保参保水平具有空间相关性,中部省份为热点地区,上海市为冷点地区,影响因素对参保率的影响力由大到小依次为经济发展因素、社会发展因素、政策因素、文化教育因素.结论 城乡居保总体参保水平逐年上涨,但各省份之间的参保水平和增长率存在差异,经济发展水平是影响城乡居保参保水平的重要因素.

Abstract

Background The"Fourteenth Five-Year Plan for Healthy Aging"proposes to promote the realization of healthy aging,which not only requires the elderly to be healthy,but also pays attention to the security.With the deepening of the aging society,there is a significant gap in the level of participation of the current pension insurance system for urban and rural residents in various provinces.Under this background,it is of great significance to study the endowment insurance system.Objective To describ the spatial distribution of the basic old-age insurance participation level of urban and rural residents in 31 provinces in China from 2013 to 2020,to observe the spatial correlation and difference of the participation level among provinces,to analyze the relevant influencing factors,and to provide suggestions for the government and medical and health administrative departments to formulate the old-age insurance policy.Methods The data for this study is sourced from the China Statistical Yearbook from 2014 to 2021.The level of participation in urban and rural residential insurance is calculated based on the ratio of the number of urban and rural residents participating in basic pension insurance by region in the public management,social security,and social organization modules to the end of year population in the population clump.The various indicators of influencing factors are all from the 2014-2021 China Statistical Yearbook.Using ArcGIS 10.8 statistical analysis software,the basic pension insurance participation levels of urban and rural residents in 31 provinces were matched with provincial administrative divisions in China.Descriptive research and analysis were conducted on the differences in pension insurance participation levels among 31 provinces.Using methods such as global spatial autocorrelation and Getis Ord Gi * local hotspots,the spatial correlation and hot and cold spots of participation levels were studied,Study the relevant influencing factors by combining geographic detectors.Results Overall,from 2013 to 2020,the number and level of urban and rural resident insurance participants in China had been continuously increasing year by year;from a vertical structure perspective,there were significant differences in the level of insurance participation among provinces;from a horizontal perspective,from 2013 to 2020,the growth rate of most provinces was positive.The participation level of basic pension insurance for urban and rural residents in 31 provinces of China from 2013 to 2020 had spatial correlation.The central provinces were hot areas,while Shanghai is a cold area.The influencing factors on the participation rate were economic development factors,social development factors,policy factors,and cultural and educational factors in descending order.Conclusion The overall level of participation in basic pension insurance for residents has been increasing year by year,but there are differences in the level of participation and growth rate among provinces.The level of economic development is an important factor affecting the level of participation in basic pension insurance for residents.

关键词

城乡居民基本养老保险/健康老龄化/空间分布/热点分析/地理探测器

Key words

Basis endowment insurance system for urban and rural residents/Healthy aging/Spatial distribution/Hot spot analysis/Geographic detector

引用本文复制引用

基金项目

教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金(22YJAZH081)

山东省重点研发计划(软科学研究计划)重大项目(2020RZB14001)

国家自然科学基金(7210041297)

教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金(20YJCZH002)

山东省自然科学基金面上项目(ZR202102180607)

潍坊市科技局项目(2020RKXHT147)

出版年

2024
中国全科医学
中国医院协会

中国全科医学

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:2.04
ISSN:1007-9572
参考文献量18
段落导航相关论文