首页|基于三酰甘油葡萄糖指数联合血管弹性指标的绝经后女性高血压患者冠心病发生风险模型开发研究

基于三酰甘油葡萄糖指数联合血管弹性指标的绝经后女性高血压患者冠心病发生风险模型开发研究

Research on the Development of a Risk Model for Coronary Heart Disease in Postmenopausal Hypertensive Women Based on the Triglyceride Glucose Index Combined with Vascular Elasticity Indicators

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背景 绝经后女性高血压患者是冠心病易发人群,其冠心病患病率与死亡率较绝经前显著升高.本研究在团队前期研究基础上进一步联合糖脂代谢、血管弹性等相关指标诊断绝经后女性高血压患者发生冠心病,以期为临床识别绝经后女性高血压患者的冠心病风险提供新思路.目的 探讨三酰甘油葡萄糖(TyG)指数、踝肱指数(ABI)、臂踝脉搏波传导速度(baPWV)、脉压指数(PPI)、动脉硬化指数(AI)联合与绝经后女性高血压患者发生冠心病的相关性及预测价值,构建绝经后女性高血压患者冠心病发生风险的预测模型.方法 本研究选取2019—2022年就诊于中日友好医院中西医结合心内科的首次行冠状动脉造影检查的绝经后女性高血压患者,根据冠状动脉造影结果分为冠心病组与非冠心病组.收集患者入院时的TyG指数、ABI、baPWV、PPI、AI等临床资料,采用多因素Logistic回归分析构建绝经后女性高血压患者冠心病发生风险预测模型,并绘制列线图实现模型可视化.采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线、校准曲线、临床决策曲线分析(DCA)评价诊断效能.结果 本研究共纳入首次行冠状动脉造影的绝经后女性高血压患者300例,其中非冠心病组141例、冠心病组159例.多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,ABI、baPWV、TyG指数、PPI、AI是绝经后女性高血压患者发生冠心病的影响因素(P<0.05),并根据预测方程绘制列线图.ROC曲线分析结果显示,ABI、baPWV、TyG指数、PPI、AI和联合预测模型预测绝经后女性高血压患者发生冠心病的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.662、0.687、0.659、0.700、0.612、0.808(P<0.001),预测模型预测绝经后女性高血压患者冠心病发生风险的灵敏度为0.7806,特异度为0.7410.校准曲线显示预测结果与实际结果具有较好的一致性.DCA曲线表明列线图具有较好的临床实用价值.结论 ABI、baPWV、TyG指数、PPI、AI是绝经后女性高血压患者发生冠心病的影响因素,新开发模型可对冠心病风险进行有效预警.
Background Postmenopausal women with hypertension are susceptible to coronary heart disease(CHD),and their prevalence and mortality of CHD are significantly higher than those before menopause. Based on the team's previous research,this study further combined with glucose and lipid metabolism,vascular elasticity and other related indicators to diagnose CHD in postmenopausal women with hypertension,in order to provide new ideas for clinical identification of CHD risk in postmenopausal women with hypertension. Objective To explore the correlation and predictive value of triglyceride glucose(TyG) index,ankle-brachial index(ABI),brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity(baPWV),pulse pressure index(PPI)and arteriosclerosis index(AI)in postmenopausal women with hypertension. Methods From January 2019 to December 2022,this study selected postmenopausal women with hypertension who underwent coronary angiography for the first time in the Department of Integrative Cardiology of China-Japan Friendship Hospital,and divided them into CHD group and non-CHD group according to the results of coronary angiography. The clinical data such as TyG index,ABI,baPWV,PPI,AI were collected at the time of admission. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to construct a CHD risk prediction model for postmenopausal women with hypertension,and a nomogram was drawn. Calibration curve,receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and decision curve analysis(DCA)were used to evaluate the diagnostic efficiency. Results In this study,300 postmenopausal women with hypertension who underwent coronary angiography for the first time were included,including 141 cases in non-CHD group and 159 cases in CHD group. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that ABI,baPWV,TyG index,PPI and AI were the influencing factors of CHD in postmenopausal women with hypertension(P<0.05),and a nomogram was drawn according to which. The ROC curve analysis results showed that area under the curve(AUC)for ABI,baPWV,TyG index,PPI,AI and joint predictive model were 0.662,0.687,0.659,0.700,0.612 and 0.808,the sensitivity and specificity of the predictive model were 0.7806 and 0.7410,respectively. The calibration curve showed that the predicted results were in good agreement with the actual results. The decision curve analysis showed that the nomogram has good clinical value. Conclusion ABI,baPWV,TyG index,PPI and AI are independent influencing factors for the occurrence of CHD in postmenopausal women with hypertension. The newly developed model can better predict the risk of CHD.

PostmenopausePostmenopausal womanHypertensionCoronary heart diseaseTriglyceride glucose indexVascular elasticityDiagnostic prediction model

张高钰、王子涵、高雪菲、张瑾、代天顾、何清、樊佳溶、黄力、李琳

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100029 北京市,北京中医药大学

100029 北京市,中日友好医院中西医结合心脏内科

绝经后期 绝经后女性 高血压 冠状动脉粥样硬化性心脏病 三酰甘油葡萄糖指数 血管弹性 诊断预测模型

2025

中国全科医学
中国医院协会

中国全科医学

北大核心
影响因子:2.04
ISSN:1007-9572
年,卷(期):2025.28(1)