首页|制造业与服务业融合发展的就业效应研究

制造业与服务业融合发展的就业效应研究

扫码查看
面对国际环境不确定性上升和国内有效需求不足,稳就业和保就业成为保障经济平稳运行的重要任务.文章从理论上分析了制造业与服务业融合发展对就业的影响和作用机制,并对此进行实证检验.研究发现,制造企业的服务性业务收入占比与就业规模呈倒U形关系,但对就业结构具有优化效应.异质性分析表明,在开展混入式融合的企业和国有企业中,服务性业务收入占比对就业规模的影响变为U形,但对就业结构的影响不显著.服务性业务收入占比增加不仅会对知识和资本密集型制造企业的就业规模产生更为显著的影响,还会对这类企业的就业结构产生更大的优化效应.机制分析表明,更高的服务性业务收入占比会通过提升全要素生产率和提高市场份额对就业规模产生先增后减的非线性影响,还会通过增强数字技术应用和优化劳动力配置渠道优化就业结构.进一步研究发现,制造业与服务业融合发展达到一定水平后能够有效实现稳就业目标.文章结论揭示了制造业与服务业融合发展对于拓展就业空间、优化就业结构、促进就业稳定的积极作用,对推进更加充分更高质量就业和实现稳就业具有一定参考意义.
Employment Stablization Effects of the Integration of Manufacturing and Service Industries
Faced with the increasing uncertainty in the international environment and insufficient domestic demand,it becomes an important task to stablize employment in order to maintain economic stability.The article theoretically analyzes the impacts of the integretion of manufacturing and service industries on employment stabilization and its mechanisms.The research reveals the following results:(1)There is an inverted U-shaped relationship between the integration of manufacturing and service industries and the employment scale,and the integration also optimizes the employment structure.(2)In the enterprises employing an embedded integration model and the non-state-owned enterprises,the impact of the integration on employment scale shows a U-shaped pattern,while no significant impact is observed on the employment structure.However,in the knowledge and capital-intensive manufacturing enterprises,the integration has a significant impact on both the scale and the structure of employment.(3)The integration of manufacturing and service industries affects the employment scale nonlinearly via the total factor productivity and market share,and it also optimizes the employment structure by enhancing the application of digital technology and addressing labor force allocation distortions.(4)The integration of manufacturing and service industries can promote stable employment once a certain level of development is reached.Overall,the findings reveal the positive role of the integration of manufacturing and service industries in expanding employment opportunities,optimizing employment structure,and promoting stable employment.This study provides policy recommendations for promoting more comprehensive and high-quality employment.

The Integration of Manufacturing and Service IndustriesEmployment ScaleEmployment StructureEmployment Stabilization

杨仁发、郑媛媛

展开 >

安徽大学经济学院

安徽大学创新发展战略研究院

制造业与服务业融合发展 就业规模 就业结构 稳就业

国家社会科学基金后期资助一般项目安徽省高等学校学科(专业)拔尖人才学术项目安徽省社会科学创新发展研究课题

21FJYB05gxbjZD20220022023CXZ009

2024

中国人口科学
中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所

中国人口科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.654
ISSN:1000-7881
年,卷(期):2024.38(2)
  • 31