Impact of the Green Development Mode Transformation on the Employment of Migrant Workers
Based on the carbon emissions trading pilot and the 2011-2018 China Migrants Dynamic Survey(CMDS),this paper examines the impact of the green transformation of the development approach on the employment of migrant workers using the multi-period difference-in-differences method.The study finds that,firstly,the green transformation significantly increased the employment rate of migrant workers,and the carbon emissions trading pilot policy increased the employment rate of migrant workers by 4.4%.The result still holds after dealing with multi-period difference-in-differences weight heterogeneity.Second,the green transformation changed the employment structure of migrant workers,causing a large number of migrant workers to flow into unskilled-intensive industries.Third,the green transformation worsens the employment situation of migrant workers while increasing their employment rate,as evidenced by a significant decline in wage levels and the probability of signing a labor contract.The conclusions of this paper are relevant to the construction of policies that balance the promotion of green transformation and the employment of migrant workers.
Migrant WorkersGreen TransformationCarbon Emissions Trading Pilot